Who is "us", as far as I can see it is only you questioning me? Anyway would I like to, yes. Can I, no. Unless of course you can point me to some specific data on deaths where covid is likely to have been a major contributing factor & not just mandated by legislation to be recorded as a possible contributor (i.e. as a result of a positive test within 28 of death). Also I will need data on the numbers of urgent & routine treatments undertaken within the NHS. All these datasets will need to start from the beginning of this year.
That we can start to crunch some numbers based on infection, hospitalisation & deaths as a direct/major result of covid & then line those datasets up against the return of children & students to education to see what impact this may have had on hospitalisation & deaths. I assume this is what you are wanting to analyse?
Here is your post from August:
Do be hurt, you need to level up again for those. In the meantime we shall see, as the virus spreads further through our population, so hospitalisations & deaths reduce. Its all there in the data.
Given that at the time we were discussing the full reopening of schools in September, I assumed you were telling me that during September, you felt that hospitalisations and deaths would reduce.
You've since clarified that you were not referring to September and I have asked you when you believe your prediction of hospitalisations and deaths reducing will happen. You've now given a reply where I think you are saying that you need some more data to back up your claim.
What I see from the graphs you link to is that hospitalisations and deaths increased from about September onwards.They decreased towards the end of November after a few weeks of lockdown.
What I also see is that the gradient of the curves is more shallow than back in March/April. You can argue as to why that might be, but I think that's probably because of some of the restrictions that have been put in place, such as more people working from home.
What is it that you see in the graphs you have referred to?
And it will be even more ignored than the last one! If it happens, I rather expect that other than where things are enforced (e.g. forcing businesses to close) a large proportion of people will take no notice at all of any restrictions.
I’ve no idea what Lockdown 2.0 was like where you live. Where I live it was actually very well observed, certainly the city centre was very quiet. As to whether people were mixing households, I’ve no idea.