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  1. brad465

    Heading into autumn - what next?

    I agree that Plan B will have little or no effect, I was just pointing out the trend in Germany's cases at the moment isn't as stark as 70% (for now).
  2. brad465

    Trivia: Rolling stock which is “most” suited to the routes it operates

    395s are very unique in their ability to run on HS1 with in cab-signalling and at 140mph, while also having 3rd rail capability to extend services onto the classic network beyond either Ebbsfleet or Ashford.
  3. brad465

    Heading into autumn - what next?

    Germany is recording some anomalous days with much higher numbers than surrounding days, where while the trend is upwards for them, it's not quite up 70% now. However there are also surges in Belgium, Poland and the Netherlands taking off, so may well be much higher themselves in a week's time.
  4. brad465

    Heading into autumn - what next?

    For all the numerical cases we're recording, this map shows how we're nowhere near the highest in the world for positive rates, a testament to how much our mass testing is contributing to our high case numbers: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-testing
  5. brad465

    Heading into autumn - what next?

    Completely agree with this, pity the media are all about "spectacle, not substance". I feel like we could end much of the panic right now if many of those shouting about restrictions being needed were just offered some ecstasy.
  6. brad465

    Heading into autumn - what next?

    A combination of gaslighting and cooking up crises to create a "rally round the leader effect" probably go some way to explaining how he still has a lead; it gets the Government publicity, and in this day and age it seems controlling the narrative is more important than the content of that...
  7. brad465

    Will the WHO ever declare an end to the Covid-19 pandemic?

    This article has since been updated to talk more about health worker losses (with a rather broad assessment), but was originally talking about the WHO saying the pandemic will drag on well into 2022 because developing countries are not receiving enough vaccines...
  8. brad465

    Heading into autumn - what next?

    This might change in the near future, but I notice that the opposition have been largely quiet this week about covid matters, even though they've been dominant in the news. None of Starmer's PMQ questions covered the topic, and I haven't seen them call for a Plan B implementation (at least not...
  9. brad465

    Heading into autumn - what next?

    According to the latest ONS infection survey, around 8% of school aged children (Yr7-11) had covid that week, more than double the % of the next highest group of 2-Yr6 around 3%, with every other age group (where all the vaccine administering has been as well) around or just below 1%. If...
  10. brad465

    Has the wearing of face masks become a left/right issue?

    Yes on social media/online I think it's very left/right, but I would hope in public it isn't. I'm on the left but have tried not to wear them where possible. I do think though those against masks will get much further talking less about the issue of "freedom" and more on issues like all the...
  11. brad465

    Heading into autumn - what next?

    For several weeks deaths, as reported by the ONS, have been in excess regardless of the number of covid registered ones. Anyone concerned about covid deaths should be as equally concerned about all other forms, but given media reporting I doubt equal concern is widespread.
  12. brad465

    Heading into autumn - what next?

    What I think has helped people move on has been all the crises surrounding gas price surges, general shortages, most especially petrol when that was a problem. Newspapers can only have one major front page headline, and more than enough has been going on to displace covid coverage. If these...
  13. brad465

    Heading into autumn - what next?

    Presenting, the next variant, being labelled as a Delta descendant and believed to be around 10% more transmissible than Delta (which is already highly infectious): https://on.ft.com/3FWbQ7r Given how infectious delta is and how its ability to spread in the lockdowns in Australia and New...
  14. brad465

    MP Sir David Amess has been stabbed and killed

    One of the reasons for giving a whole life tariff is "Murder committed to further a religious, political, racial or ideological cause", so were it proven to be terrorism and the suspect found guilty I don't see them getting anything else. Jo Cox's murderer got one as the motive was definitely a...
  15. brad465

    Brexit matters

    Someone once joked that if UKIP wanted to host a party conference in the most British place they could find, they should do it in Benidorm ;)
  16. brad465

    MP Sir David Amess has been stabbed and killed

    On top of this, I would not bring in any reactionary measures of increased security or reduction in MPs contacting others, and instead focus on counter terrorism improvements and other means to find and foil planned activities. If we restrict our lives in response to a terror attack, the...
  17. brad465

    Freightliner Class 90s Mothballed?

    This story is now the front cover story of today's RAIL magazine release. It's perhaps worth mentioning that demand for other energy has started a surge in oil prices as well. If that continues beyond a certain point it maybe possible electricity costs are comparable again, even if they don't...
  18. brad465

    Brexit matters

    What we need is not just an increase in wages in jobs that have been cheap labour, but serious investment in training capacity and campaigns to get shortages filled by home workers where immigration isn't going to be relied upon. While the Government have for over a decade repeatedly said...
  19. brad465

    MP Sir David Amess has been stabbed and killed

    Apparently he's a British national with Somalian heritage, while the stabbing has now been declared a terrorist incident, with "a potential motivation linked to Islamist Extremism": https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-58935372

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