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Most effort/work spent on a non-railway project that ultimately never happened?

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Purple Orange

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Mod Note: Posts #1 - #5 originally in this thread.

Could we consider Concorde or even the A380 in this? The aim for both projects was to see far more aeroplanes of its type in the air, yet it never quite took off as it was hoped.
 
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johntea

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I wonder how much has been spent so far on discussing trams / busways / teleporter pods to get around Leeds! Seems to be a new proposal every other week!

On a similar note I wonder how much the infamous First 'ftr' bendy buses ending up losing in the end...
 

najaB

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Could we consider Concorde or even the A380 in this? The aim for both projects was to see far more aeroplanes of its type in the air, yet it never quite took off as it was hoped.
If we widen the scope to include aviation then this will be a very long thread.
 

swt_passenger

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If they are allowed then I'll nominate the Titanic - granted it was completed but failed to reach its destination.
But does that actually make it a failed one off project though? It was part of a class of 3 simliar ships although at that time they wouldn’t be built identically on a production line basis. Follow on ships were nearly always subtly different from each other as technology moved on.

But Olympic, Titanic, and Britannic are usually grouped as a class of 3 ships. The first operated for over 20 years, the third was converted to hospital ship and sunk by a mine in the Agean.
 
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Western Lord

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If we widen the scope to include aviation then this will be a very long thread.
Indeed, there's the Brabazon and the Princess flying boat for starters. Although both "happened" in the sense that they flew, they did not enter service as intended.
 

Royston Vasey

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Mod Note: Posts #1 - #5 originally in this thread.

Could we consider Concorde or even the A380 in this? The aim for both projects was to see far more aeroplanes of its type in the air, yet it never quite took off as it was hoped.
I certainly wouldn't consider the A380 to be a total flop, it very much happened, and the Concorde was never commercially scaled but it certainly happened too.

The Boeing 2707 supersonic airliner (SST) was a twenty year project from the early 50s. Hundreds of millions of dollars were spent developing concepts for SST (mostly federal money) but it was finally cancelled in 1971 when Boeing estimated a further required spend of a billion dollars to complete the development. At this point the ten prototype Concordes had consumed $2 billion which spooked Boeing and the public, although the FAA, US President and Congress remained supportive of it and it was the Senate that turned off the government funding.

It didn't get as far as a prototype other than smaller testbeds, and a wooden mockup.

Even as early as the mid 60s though, Boeing's board and shareholders were faced with a choice between sinking vast sums into supersonic transit or developing a high capacity mass market intercontinental jet. Using their learnings from an unsuccessful bid for military cargo aircraft (the winner being the Lockheed C5 Galaxy), they chose to develop what became the 747. It was conceived, designed and built in just two years, first flying in 1968, and the rest is history.

https://internationalaviationhq.com/2020/08/01/boeing-2707-never-flew-on/

https://airwaysmag.com/uncategorized/the-sst-2707-and-the-747-unintentional-queen-of-the-skies/

In some ways the HST and the 747 have similarities - less glamorous stopgaps or fallbacks to more capable, ambitious and revolutionary concepts... which both outlived.
 

najaB

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I certainly wouldn't consider the A380 to be a total flop, it very much happened, and the Concorde was never commercially scaled but it certainly happened too.
Indeed. Neither of them were commercially successful but in the case of Concorde it succeeded in what it was intended to do: prove that the UK/European aerospace industry was not irrelevant. We couldn't go to the Moon like the USSR and USA but we could make a successful SST, something that neither of them actually managed. It's also worth noting that the Concorde we had was the 'A' model, the lessons from which would have been implemented in the 'B' model. This had several improvements over the first model that would have made it much more commercially viable. For example, it would have been able to take off without use of full reheat, and would have had trans-Pacific range.

If not for the fuel crisis that would have gone into production and, in all likelihood, would have been much more successful. The Concorde project also lay the foundation on which Airbus was built, and there's no doubt that that was a successful outcome.

As to the A380, again it wasn't an outstanding commercial success, but with over 240 built and sold it can't be described as 'not happening'. It had the misfortune to hit the market during one economic crisis, weather another and then be hit by the biggest downturn in global aviation in a generation. I remain convinced that the basic idea was sound, and will be returned to in a decade or so, but they just built the wrong one. The economics of the -900 would have been hard to beat, but the -800 is carrying the cost of a wing that is too large.
 

trebor79

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All of the Concordes that entered service have small differences between them, as improvements to the design were incorporated into the production line. So much so that when the fuel tanks were reinforced with Kevlar after the Paris crash, the linings had to be designed individually for every tank (there are 27!) on every aircraft.
As @najaB has stated, the B-series would have been the mass-produced version, including an improved wing design. I *think* the first of the A-series incorporating the new wing was under construction when the project was cancelled.
 

najaB

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Indeed, there's the Brabazon and the Princess flying boat for starters. Although both "happened" in the sense that they flew, they did not enter service as intended.
Spruce Goose - it's debatable if that even flew!
 

Domh245

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As to the A380, again it wasn't an outstanding commercial success, but with over 240 built and sold it can't be described as 'not happening'. It had the misfortune to hit the market during one economic crisis, weather another and then be hit by the biggest downturn in global aviation in a generation. I remain convinced that the basic idea was sound, and will be returned to in a decade or so, but they just built the wrong one. The economics of the -900 would have been hard to beat, but the -800 is carrying the cost of a wing that is too large.

I'm not so sure. Aside from the issues around the economic & covid crises, the A380 was built around the hub & spoke model, whilst the airlines have moved away from that towards point-to-point, particularly as small-mid capacity aircraft have continued to gain range. The customer perceived advantages of the point-point model makes it likely that they'll continue to pursue this - the only way super-jumbos like the A380 will have a resurgence is if there is some sort of way to incentivise airlines to return to hub & spoke IMO
 

najaB

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The customer perceived advantages of the point-point model makes it likely that they'll continue to pursue this - the only way super-jumbos like the A380 will have a resurgence is if there is some sort of way to incentivise airlines to return to hub & spoke IMO
Point to point works up to a certain level, then it gets unwieldy. CF Emirates - if they were to operate a mainly point to point model most of their routes would pass within a few hundred nautical miles of Dubai. That's why the A380 works so well for them.

VLAs also work on a point to point basis when you have a high volume of traffic. BA were able to operate multiple 747s a day between London and New York for example.
 

Western Lord

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Point to point works up to a certain level, then it gets unwieldy. CF Emirates - if they were to operate a mainly point to point model most of their routes would pass within a few hundred nautical miles of Dubai. That's why the A380 works so well for them.

VLAs also work on a point to point basis when you have a high volume of traffic. BA were able to operate multiple 747s a day between London and New York for example.
But BA never operated the A380 on the LHR-JFK route. The 747s had been downseated and, being fully written down in the books, were still economic to operate against the American carriers widebody twins. Frequency is everything in such a competitive market which, speaking of Airbus, is where the first mistake was made. They thought there was a market for a short haul widebody (hence the name of the company), the belief at the time being that people would want "wide body comfort" (!) on short haul routes. Airlines that bought the original A300 soon discovered that in order to fill it they had to reduce frequencies, which lost them customers to rivals flying more frequent services with 737s and DC-9s etc. Airbus was forced to develop a short haul narrow body, and luckily the arrival of ETOPS enabled the A300 to be developed into a medium/long range aircraft.
 

najaB

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But BA never operated the A380 on the LHR-JFK route. The 747s had been downseated and, being fully written down in the books, were still economic to operate against the American carriers widebody twins.
Which kinda makes my point. BA made money with the 747s because the capital cost had already been covered, so they made them premium-heavy and raked in the cash. It's also why they were the first to be retired - premium travel disappeared faster than the speed of light. So a big aircraft makes money operationally, as long as you have the premium passengers.

They thought there was a market for a short haul widebody (hence the name of the company), the belief at the time being that people would want "wide body comfort" (!) on short haul routes.
With c. 500 passenger models delivered, some operated for >30 years, they must've been on to something. American Airlines, for example, still misses theirs in routes into the Caribbean and Central America as they used to be kings for cargo. It's not unknown for the 737-800s to leave bags behind.

Hence why there's pressure on Boeing for the NMA to be a twin-aisle with around 4,500NM range.
 

Western Lord

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Which kinda makes my point. BA made money with the 747s because the capital cost had already been covered, so they made them premium-heavy and raked in the cash. It's also why they were the first to be retired - premium travel disappeared faster than the speed of light. So a big aircraft makes money operationally, as long as you have the premium passengers.


With c. 500 passenger models delivered, some operated for >30 years, they must've been on to something. American Airlines, for example, still misses theirs in routes into the Caribbean and Central America as they used to be kings for cargo. It's not unknown for the 737-800s to leave bags behind.

Hence why there's pressure on Boeing for the NMA to be a twin-aisle with around 4,500NM range.
Those are not short haul routes. The A300, as I said, was developed into a medium haul aircraft. The original intention is that it would have been used on London-Paris and other similar city pairs
 

172007

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Buran, Бура́н, 1 mission and 2 laps of the Earth. 1 Orbitor completed, 1 according to Wikipedia (lol) was 90% complete for space travel and 1 as a ground demonstrator. According to sources in the book "Into the Black" about the 1st Space Shuttle flight by Rowland White Buran was accredited to the bankruptcy of the Soviet Union do to its cost by competing with the US Orbitor.
 

najaB

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Those are not short haul routes. The A300, as I said, was developed into a medium haul aircraft. The original intention is that it would have been used on London-Paris and other similar city pairs
That's not entirely true. While the original concept came out of the need to replace/upgauge aircraft like the BAC 1-11, that idea didn't survive the project inception phase.

The plane, as designed and built, was always intended to target the medium-haul market.
 

MP33

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When I worked for the Civil Service there were a few.

There was a plan to move the HQ out of London. This never got off the drawing board after seconding Senior staff and hiring consultants. The rumour was that there was so much delay that the landlord of the building we were to occupy let it to another organisation.

There was a Competency scheme. You were given a large difficult to put in your desk folder and you had to get signed off with tasks like operating a Fax machine that were utterly patronsing. Someone who joined us from another part of the department said they took their folder along to a number of interviews and the panel did not wish to look at it or discuss it.

When we were to move to another location within London. A senior manager was setting up a secure conference centre at a location we had on the border of Surrey/London. It was pointed out that the new building we were moving to had these facilities built in. A junior member of staff who worked for this person said that he did not agree with what had been said about his performance. One of his problems was he used to involve consultants a lot and asked for their support. Any consultant was not going to rock the boat with the client.

In part of the building there was an empty filing cabinet and a desk and chair that no one sat at. This was to show how one of our local offices would look when a case management system was running. This never happened and it was pointed out that these systems are available off the shelf, why build your own.

As part of empire building there were a whole load of regional offices opened. When the head of that department retired, his successor held a review and closed almost all the offices and made a whole load of people redundant. I noted that the person who retired after a very long career rising from the bottom, has never received anything in the Honours List.
 

XAM2175

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According to sources in the book "Into the Black" about the 1st Space Shuttle flight by Rowland White Buran was accredited to the bankruptcy of the Soviet Union do to its cost by competing with the US Orbitor.
When you say "Buran was accredited to the bankruptcy of the Soviet Union" it reads like you mean that Buran was the result of the Soviet Union's bankruptcy :p
 

najaB

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Good point, other way around. Ha ha
That's often claimed - that Buran played a large role in bankrupting the USSR but the rot had set in long before.

The program cost was approximately $15B over ten years as compared to an annual GDP on the order of $1.5 trillion.
 

Dr_Paul

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Indeed, there's the Brabazon and the Princess flying boat for starters. Although both "happened" in the sense that they flew, they did not enter service as intended.
Yes, two expensive projects that got nowhere. The flying boat was on its way out, but Saunders-Roe didn't seem to realise that. The Brabazon attempted to compete with the luxury transatlantic ships rather than take a good number of passengers. Some of the design and production experience of the Brabazon was used with the Britannia, so it wasn't entirely wasted, but this didn't happen with the Princess, as no more flying boats of any size were produced in Britain. Saunders-Roe did have ideas of the Queen, a five-deck flying boat, 300' long with a 300' wing-span, powered by 24 (!) Conway engines, but not surprisingly this stayed on the drawing board.

There were some contemporary US giant piston-engine planes that got nowhere in the civilian field. Douglas offered a civilian version of the C-74 Globemaster as the original DC-7; and Convair offered the Model 37 as a civil version of the C-99 (a transport plane that used the wings and tail of the B-36, only one produced so it didn't do well in the military field either), but neither was produced as airlines weren't interested. They were too big for the civil aviation market at the time. Also, the Boeing Stratocruiser, the civilian version of the C-97 (developed from the B-29) failed to sell in any great numbers.
 
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Western Lord

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Yes, two expensive projects that got nowhere. The flying boat was on its way out, but Saunders-Roe didn't seem to realise that. The Brabazon attempted to compete with the luxury transatlantic ships rather than take a good number of passengers. Some of the design and production experience of the Brabazon was used with the Britannia, so it wasn't entirely wasted, but this didn't happen with the Princess, as no more flying boats of any size were produced in Britain. Saunders-Roe did have ideas of the Queen, a five-deck flying boat, 300' long with a 300' wing-span, powered by 24 (!) Conway engines, but not surprisingly this stayed on the drawing board.

There were some contemporary US giant piston-engine planes that got nowhere in the civilian field. Douglas offered a civilian version of the C-74 Globemaster as the original DC-7; and Convair offered the Model 37 as a civil version of the C-99 (a transport plane that used the wings and tail of the B-36, only one produced so it didn't do well in the military field either), but neither was produced as airlines weren't interested. They were too big for the civil aviation market at the time. Also, the Boeing Stratocruiser, the civilian version of the C-97 (developed from the B-29) failed to sell in any great numbers.
The Stratocruiser was a nightmare to service and expensive to operate, but it gave Pan American and BOAC the advantage on the Atlantic (and Pacific for Pan Am) with its superior passenger experience for the first half of the fifties. Then the DC-7C, with its superior economics began usurping it, in spite of its narrow DC-4 width fuselage.
 

341o2

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The R101 must also be considered, at the time it was the largest airship in the world. Constantly modified after trial flights, perhaps the worst decision taken was to slacken the wiring cradles to increase the volume of gas. This had a disastrous effect on longitudinal stability. The airship crashed on its maiden overseas flight being virtually uncontrollable, killing nearly everyone on board, at a cost of half a million pounds to the taxpayer as it was one of a pair, the R100, the capitalist ship and the R101, the people's ship
 

najaB

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The Stratocruiser was a nightmare to service and expensive to operate, but it gave Pan American and BOAC the advantage on the Atlantic (and Pacific for Pan Am) with its superior passenger experience for the first half of the fifties.
Indeed, it can't be called a failure as they operated for the better part of 20 years and carried millions of passengers.
 

NoRoute

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Not sure how much it cost but the UK Tracked Hovercraft project deserves a mention, just from the interesting engineering technology, there's a good video showing the underlying engineering of the technology, through to the trial:


 
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