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Landslips

BrianW

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Ultimately we can't expect railways built by engineers with no modern engineering design tools to last forever, especially in the face of extreme weather like the wettest winter ever recorded.
Did Brunel, Stephenson etc do calculations or not; if so, with what 'information'?
 
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DelW

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Did Brunel, Stephenson etc do calculations or not; if so, with what 'information'?
They would have done calculations for some of their designs, e.g. iron or steel sections. They wouldn't have done stability calculations for earthworks, as quantitative (numerical) methods for geotechnical analysis weren't developed until the middle of the 20th century.
 

Deepgreen

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I think most people who post about trees on railway land are saying the opposite of that - too many trees have been allowed to grow and not enough are removed.
I suspect the presence of very tall trees is a problem in that they sway in windy weather and with saturated ground they more readily move/fall/slide down slopes. I travelled through Redhill yesterday and there was a poster in the subway about yet another slip between there and Tonbridge. It ended with the phrase "we apologies for any inconvenience..." and they don't seem to know the convention of using 'XX' for hours, rather than asterisks! It was out of date anyway as trains were running to Edenbridge.
20240401_213619.jpeg

Ultimately we can't expect railways built by engineers with no modern engineering design tools to last forever, especially in the face of extreme weather like the wettest winter ever recorded.
Indeed so - not only is the climate changing rapidly, but train dynamics are too, along with lineside management. Even earthworks built today will have a finite design life. That mid-Victorian infrastructure has survived for so long is a testament to their efforts.
 

furnessvale

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I suspect the presence of very tall trees is a problem in that they sway in windy weather and with saturated ground they more readily move/fall/slide down slopes. I travelled through Redhill yesterday and there was a poster in the subway about yet another slip between there and Tonbridge. It ended with the phrase "we apologies for any inconvenience..." and they don't seem to know the convention of using 'XX' for hours, rather than asterisks! It was out of date anyway as trains were running to Edenbridge.
View attachment 155597
People say that trees stabilise ground, but whenever I see a large tree down I notice just how shallow rooted they appear to be.
 

snowball

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People say that trees stabilise ground, but whenever I see a large tree down I notice just how shallow rooted they appear to be.
Maybe because it's the shallow-rooted ones that tend to fall down?


Of course, where's there's rock near the surface they have no option but to be shallow rooted.
 
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People say that trees stabilise ground, but whenever I see a large tree down I notice just how shallow rooted they appear to be.
Tree roots are indeed mostly in the top layer of the soil, typically in the first 600mm. What they do there is hold that layer of soil together, so that it doesn't get washed away by water flows etc. Deeper roots will form where needed for stability, but a root plate which is comparatively shallow but extends over a large area (equal to the height of the tree) is much more effective in making it stable than trying to root deeper.
Roots and surface vegetation also maintain the porosity of the soil so that water soaks in and flows down, rather than getting stuck on top of compacted soil surface and leading to surface flooding.
 

QueensCurve

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Someone has done it for me.... I was about to start a thread on this very subject as it seems that barely a week goes by without news of another one. The high levels of railfall are undoubtedly partly responsible, but I too think that the sometimes excessive deforestation of railway property is playing a part. One can't help but wonder how long it is going to be before a train travelling at speed comes across a fresh one.
I had been wondering the same, but sadly it has already happened at Carmont 4 years ago. There is a strong safety imperative to get the problem under control.
 

Hellzapoppin

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Tree roots are indeed mostly in the top layer of the soil, typically in the first 600mm. What they do there is hold that layer of soil together, so that it doesn't get washed away by water flows etc. Deeper roots will form where needed for stability, but a root plate which is comparatively shallow but extends over a large area (equal to the height of the tree) is much more effective in making it stable than trying to root deeper.
Roots and surface vegetation also maintain the porosity of the soil so that water soaks in and flows down, rather than getting stuck on top of compacted soil surface and leading to surface flooding.
And that water soaking in can and does cause a problem. IIRC The water soaks through until it hits the underlying clay, rock, etc . That then causes a slip plane, the water soaked top soil combined with the weight of vegetation causes the slip.
 

Meerkat

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Tree roots are indeed mostly in the top layer of the soil, typically in the first 600mm. What they do there is hold that layer of soil together, so that it doesn't get washed away by water flows etc. Deeper roots will form where needed for stability, but a root plate which is comparatively shallow but extends over a large area (equal to the height of the tree) is much more effective in making it stable than trying to root deeper.
Roots and surface vegetation also maintain the porosity of the soil so that water soaks in and flows down, rather than getting stuck on top of compacted soil surface and leading to surface flooding.
AIUI grass and scrub are much better for holding the soil together. Trees' weight presumably puts stress on a slope counteracting any good they do. Trees extract a lot of water when its hot causing shrinkage, and do the exact opposite of holding the soil together when they fall over.
 

snowball

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I think most people who post about trees on railway land are saying the opposite of that - too many trees have been allowed to grow and not enough are removed.
See for example this current Dorking thread:

 

BrianW

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This thought is occurring to me: IF (yes, if ...) it is the case that landslips are increasing (whether in terms of frequency or severity) perhaps the 'rules of thumb' that the original Victorian engineers used in their designs, specifications and constructions were pretty consistent in their understandings of what was right in their day. Evidence suggests that the 'weather events' of our time are significantly worse than those 'back in the day'- the question therefore might be what should be the standards for 'the future', however that might be foreseeable.

The fact that Network Rail see no increase in funding in the foreseeable future, and putting faith in greater understanding by staff and proactive preventive measures is not risk-free; at best it is risk reallocation. Do we learn nothing from the Railtrack experiment experience?

Ultimately we can't expect railways built by engineers with no modern engineering design tools to last forever, especially in the face of extreme weather like the wettest winter ever recorded.
It seems we do expect that.
 

snowball

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The fact that Network Rail see no increase in funding in the foreseeable future, and putting faith in greater understanding by staff and proactive preventive measures is not risk-free; at best it is risk reallocation. Do we learn nothing from the Railtrack experiment experience?
Network Rail is greatly increasing its spending on climate preparedness. See the announcements made three days ago and the thread created to cover them:


Quotes from a press release linked and quoted in that thread:


£45bn rail improvement plan puts climate change firmly in its sights

Network Rail today announced the start of its five-year, £45.4bn* rail improvement plan aimed at delivering a simpler, better, greener railway that provides the best level of train performance possible and that’s more geared-up than ever before to cope with the extremes of climate change.

...

Over the five years to 2029, Network Rail will invest around £2.8bn in activities**and technology that will help it better cope with extreme weather and climate change, which will help deliver a more reliable and better performing railway. Examples include:

Increased investment in looking after thousands of miles of drains, cuttings and embankments to make them more weather resilient
Recruiting almost 400 extra drainage engineers who will increase the care and maintenance of our drainage assets to be able to better handle increased and intense rainfall
Hundreds of key operational staff will attend Network Rail’s new ‘weather academy’ to help make them ‘amateur meteorologists’, better able to interpret forecasts and make better operation decisions such as when and where to slow trains in stormy conditions
More than 600,000 metres of drains will be built or rebuilt, redesigned or see increased maintenance to enable our railway to cope with much heavier rainfall and reduce flooding
Targeting over 20,000 cuttings or embankments for attention, with over 300 miles being strengthened through renewal and refurbishment and over 900 miles seeing planned maintenance
Installing significantly more ‘smart’ movement sensors to cuttings and embankments giving early warning of any changes enabling engineers to react, hopefully before a full landslip
Installing CCTV at high-risk flooding sites to enable better and faster response
Introducing new technology that will help us keep services running safely in difficult conditions, such as
o GUSTO – that uses topography to better predict windspeeds distinguishing valleys, trees and buildings enabling trains to run at higher speeds during stormy weather
o Precise ‘real-time’ world leading rainfall forecasting, detailing weather conditions every 500m that will link with asset condition data for even better train service management

...

Andrew continued: “Climate change is the biggest challenge our railway faces. The extreme weather of the past year that has seen an unprecedented 14 named storms, has taken its toll on our railway – with experts predicting more of the same to come. We are responding to that challenge with a huge investment in making our railway more resilient and better performing for rail users during such events.

“We can never completely ‘weatherproof’ our railway, but we can be better prepared and mitigate the worst that Mother Nature throws at us, now, and into the future, to keep passengers and services safe and moving.”
 

BrianW

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Network Rail is greatly increasing its spending on climate preparedness. See the announcements made three days ago and the thread created to cover them:


Quotes from a press release linked and quoted in that thread:

Thank you Snowball for this fulsome response and reference to the CP7 thread, which I see has attracted (sadly, only) 53 postings. The 'parallel' thread regarding 'amateur meteorologists' has attracted 68 postings. There are now several threads related to specific landslips.

Posters appear to perceive there to be increases in frequency and/or severity of effects of climate change already and it's good to have these confirmations that lessons have been learned from the Carmont tragedy and other incidents. Let us hope that the proposed enhanced preparedness and related funding will produce the intended improvements.
 

randyrippley

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I think most people who post about trees on railway land are saying the opposite of that - too many trees have been allowed to grow and not enough are removed.
The problem is not that the trees are there, but that they haven't been coppiced or pollarded.
Tree roots will stabilise banks as long as they have no large mass above ground to create a downward leverage force.
Cut the trees down to near ground level every 8-10 years or so, allowing them to regrow from the stump or bole. Keeps the root system intact, but removes the out-of-balance forces that would otherwise uproot the trees.
Trees used to be grown that way to hold river banks together (especially willow and alder) but it works with almost any tree on any bank
 

BrianW

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The problem is not that the trees are there, but that they haven't been coppiced or pollarded.
Tree roots will stabilise banks as long as they have no large mass above ground to create a downward leverage force.
Cut the trees down to near ground level every 8-10 years or so, allowing them to regrow from the stump or bole. Keeps the root system intact, but removes the out-of-balance forces that would otherwise uproot the trees.
Trees used to be grown that way to hold river banks together (especially willow and alder) but it works with almost any tree on any bank
Hmmhh- got me wondering more now ...

I'm imagining that every landslip on the railway is on a man-made slope (there maybe exceptions?)- either a cutting or an embankment, which when constructed was treeless. AFAIK there were not thoughts of 'screening' the railway from view.
So, the trees we have are whatever has thrived through negligence- i.e it has not been cut down. It may have been coppiced or pollarded, or trimmed back or had its top lopped. Its roots will be as they grew largely out of sight- shallow or deep.

All (most?) of the pictures I have in mind of the recent 'spate' of landslips have no trees, perhaps because they have been cleared, maybe since the slip, but possibly before?

I hope Network Rail has (or will have) teams of knowledgeable and/or experience' qualified engineers, arboriculturalists, consultants etc 'on the case' and can get this (growing?) backlog back under control.

As an 'amateur' may I suggest a 'rule of thumb'- no tree closer to the track than its height (less some 'intolerance' for its continuing growth).

And Buddleia on buildings and other structures- bridge abutments etc? - maybe a subject for another thread?
 

robert thomas

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Network Rail is greatly increasing its spending on climate preparedness. See the announcements made three days ago and the thread created to cover them:


Quotes from a press release linked and quoted in that thread:

This prompted a critical article in The Daily Telegraph which seems to suggest there is no problem and this is a waste of resources!
 

BrianW

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This prompted a critical article in The Daily Telegraph which seems to suggest there is no problem and this is a waste of resources!
I imagine that Telegraph article will be behind a paywall. Is it possible to support the contention of a 'waste of resources' by some quotes or 'evidence'? This is otherwise mere 'unsupported assertion'.
 

randyrippley

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The answer to that is that coppicing and pollarding are low-level skills that generally died out a couple of generations ago. OK it's simple to do with a saw, but the awareness of it has gone: faced with a tree a modern arboriculturalist or engineer is going to look for a permanent solution i.e. fell the tree, kill the roots and/or dig them up. Whereas they should be trying to control the tree with an ongoing management plan of cutting down and regrowth. But the mindset to do that is no longer there.
Problem now is that if the trees had been cut back every ten years or so then they'd never get too big to handle - almost anyone could maintain them. But now they've been allowed to grow only skilled tree surgeons can safely handle them
 

snowball

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This prompted a critical article in The Daily Telegraph which seems to suggest there is no problem and this is a waste of resources!
May be connected with the Telegraph's love of denying climate change?

I just did a search and found this, not paywalled:


Weather-related train disruption has decreased over the past few years despite the Network Rail chief executive claiming climate change is “the biggest challenge our railway faces”, The Telegraph can reveal.

On Wednesday, the state-owned company said it would be spending £2.8 billion to help it cope better with extreme weather and climate change.

Its plans include training rail staff as “amateur meteorologists” and buying weather forecasting services that are accurate to within 500 metres.

Andrew Haines, the Network Rail chief executive, also said extreme weather had “taken its toll” on the network.

Yet data analysis by The Telegraph reveals that, for the last three years, the proportion of delays attributed to “weather, autumn and structure” has been decreasing.

“Weather, autumn and structure” covers delays caused by natural phenomena such as high wind or heavy rain, as well as autumn leaf fall. Leaf debris causes braking problems for trains, similar to the way in which ice causes cars to skid.

The increased climate spending pledge calls into question how wisely Network Rail is using its £45.4 billion budget for the next five years.

In 2020-21, train delays caused by “severe weather, autumn and structures” made up 10.3 per cent of all delay minutes counted by regulators, according to figures from the Office of Rail and Road (ORR) analysed by The Telegraph.

By last year that share had declined to 7.7 per cent – just over a million minutes – out of 2023’s total train delays of 13.7 million minutes.



England saw a record amount of rainfall in the 18 months to March. A total of 1,695mm of rain fell during this time, the largest amount since Met Office records began in 1836, while total train delays added up to 13.5 million minutes. Of those, 1.9 million – 14 per cent – were attributed to weather.

Martin Frobisher, Network Rail’s group safety and engineering director, told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme on Wednesday: “Climate change is happening right now. It’s affecting the railway with flooding in winter and hotter summers than we’ve ever seen before.”

Mr Haines said: “Climate change is the biggest challenge our railway faces. The extreme weather of the past year that has seen an unprecedented 14 named storms has taken its toll on our railway – with experts predicting more of the same to come.”

The Government is backing the rail company’s plans, with Huw Merriman, the rail minister, saying people across the country relied on the railways.

“That’s why the network must be fit for the future, with the resilience to handle extreme weather while offering the reliability and level of service our passengers deserve,” he said.

“I am confident the plan set out by Network Rail today will help keep our railways on track for the coming years.”

ut John O’Connell, the chief executive of the TaxPayers’ Alliance, said: “Taxpayers are tired of quixotic quangos trying to save the world rather than addressing problems at home.

“Network Rail is expected to deliver reliable, safe, and high-quality railway infrastructure, yet it’s diverting billions of pounds towards solutions to a problem that is having less and less of an impact on the network.”

Tory MP Craig Mackinlay, of the Conservatives’ Net Zero Scrutiny Group, said: “This money appears to be being spent on activities that would need to happen anyway, regardless of climate change.

“It’s clear we need a rail network that can handle all weathers, but I would be very interested to find out which observational data they are using to attribute this spending to climate change, and what predictions they are using about the future.”

Andrew Montford, the science writer and author of The Hockey Stick Illusion, said: “The kinds of weather that affect rail services are not getting worse. Winters are milder, wind speeds are falling, and extreme rainfall has barely changed. What is getting worse is the tendency of official bodies to make foolish statements about climate change.”

As part of its £2.8 billion climate spending, Network Rail has pledged that “hundreds of key operational staff” will attend a new “weather academy” to turn them into “amateur meteorologists”.

It said this would help them understand weather forecasts to make better operational decisions, such as when and where to slow trains down in stormy conditions.

Train delays have worsened recently despite an increased focus on problem areas such as the stretch between Reading and London Paddington, which will receive £140 million of maintenance under a new plan to improve reliability.



Over the year leading up to February 2024, the average delay per train in Britain was up 42.2 per cent on the same period two years earlier, ORR data show.

Network Rail’s £45.4 billion budget for the next five years is made up mainly of government grants and income from track access fees charged to train companies, themselves mostly funded by the taxpayer.

The company’s other climate-related spending targets include ground movement sensors to pick up when landslides are likely to happen and extra CCTV at high-risk flooding sites.

Last year, the Government provided £11.9 billion in taxpayer funding to run the railways, including £7.5 billion handed directly to Network Rail.

UPDATE:

Network Rail has said the overall proportion of train delays caused by weather decreased from 8.7 per cent in 2020-21 to 6.9 per cent in 2022-23, before increasing again to 8.1 per cent last year.

The infrastructure company says its delay data includes figures for journeys not published by the ORR, such as freight trains, and says that the effects of recent strikes depressed the proportion of weather-related delays. We are happy to make the situation clear.
 

Starmill

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May be connected with the Telegraph's love of denying climate change?

I just did a search and found this, not paywalled:

I wonder if they're stuck in the most basic of logical fallacies: fewer delays (unplanned disruption) are occurring because of the effects of recently completed works to improve the infrastructure's condition, naturally focusing on the worst affected areas. But without substantially more work on the known weak points, unplanned disruption would rise significantly above the level of recent actual delays, and delays if a more "do minimum" approach were taken.

Even with the agreed budgets and rise in spending on all things earthworks, and old masonry or iron-based structures, we can't expect delays to come down much without net improvement to overall infrastructure condition. It's not clear we can achieve that.
 

BrianW

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That Telegraph article is complete nonsense.
It hardly needs more folk to 'pile in' on this biased piece. Use of expressions like 'state-owned', 'official bodies' making 'foolish statements', 'taxpayers tired of quixotic quangos', 'government grants' and 'taxpayer funding' are highly suggestive of a certain standpoint and related view. I'd consign it indirectly to the toilet if it weren't a waste of printer cartridge.
 

modernrail

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It hardly needs more folk to 'pile in' on this biased piece. Use of expressions like 'state-owned', 'official bodies' making 'foolish statements', 'taxpayers tired of quixotic quangos', 'government grants' and 'taxpayer funding' are highly suggestive of a certain standpoint and related view. I'd consign it indirectly to the toilet if it weren't a waste of printer cartridge.
The Telegraph really has ceased to be a useful newspaper. Its obsession with trotting out biased pieces on its pet subjects with extreme over-confidence but very little balance is tiresome and poor journalism. They often pair the diatribe with a series of ill informed quotes from the same organisations
with zero detailed understanding or expertise in the subject, as if that somehow makes their dross real. A shame, it used to be credible.
 

Deepgreen

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This picture from the BBC News web site amused me, because it looks as though the 'T' board beyond is the end of a speed restriction for trains being allowed over the track! Of course it pre-dates the slip, but the positioning and timing amused me.

Screenshot 2024-04-13 at 20.21.47.png

Photo of a severely dipped (and clearly unusable) railway track with a 'T' board just beyond.
 

AY1975

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Network Rail has posted photo of the problem on Redhill-Tonbridge line


Rather oddly, if you look up any train on the Redhill-Tonbridge line on Real Time Trains for Good Friday 29th March (or any time from 1st to 14th April) it shows cancelled throughout, yet for some trains on Saturday 30th and Easter Sunday 31st March it shows them as having run between Redhill and Edenbridge.

Although you can only look up departures from a particular station from within the last seven days, you can look up the same train for an earlier date within the current timetable period by manually changing the date in the web page address.
 

30907

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Rather oddly, if you look up any train on the Redhill-Tonbridge line on Real Time Trains for Good Friday 29th March (or any time from 1st to 14th April) it shows cancelled throughout, yet for some trains on Saturday 30th and Easter Sunday 31st March it shows them as having run between Redhill and Edenbridge.
IIRC they were able to source an appropriate member of staff to operate the ground frame at Edenbridge on those two days only.
 

Killingworth

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And for natures next performance a landslip between Scunthorpe and Doncaster means that services are currently unable to run between these stations.

As a result, trains will be cancelled or revised.

 

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