Yes they did, and they published the spreadsheet which made those calculations. But that's because they compared full electrification against retaining the diesels for 60 years. And half of the route, to Bedford, had already been wired.
So the calculations showed the benefit of 2tph electric trains to Sheffield and 2tph to Nottingham, set against just half the cost of electrifying the whole route. So very compelling. (Or so was assumed at the time. In the end, quite a lot of capital investement was needed south of Bedford).
But that calculation ignored bimodes. Comparing full electrification against bimodes, the financial case fell apart because the bimodes could exploit the OHLE to Bedford without any more capital investment. Which is why the MML project got binned at that time, and EMR now has 810s on order.
Looking ahead, I don't think the finances stack up for most of the MML, with only 4tph on most of the route. I have never seen any BCR calculations published for the present MML upgrade. It's certainly a political decision, rather than an economic one. So I wouldn't predict electrification from Derby to Dore. Certainly not while Cross County needs diesels to get to Plymouth, or until the HS2 Eastern stump gets built.
But I do think that the advent of bimode EMUs, and bimode freight locos; and the availability of Battery EMUs will make a compelling economic case for electrification at intensively used network nodes, where electric acceleration will increase capacity and Battery EMUs can recharge, all on the same relatively short length of wires. So I'm predicting Sheffield (i.e. Dore to Meadowhall) will get wires. But I agree, 10 years is a bit ambitious. Probably 15 is more likely. Time will tell!