Perhaps boosting Central Line trains to go around the Hainault Loop if the track were to remain single branched, otherwise if it was double tracked I really don't see any issue with it? With Labour almost certain to come in, if the 2024 election keeps Khan, then there might be agreement between both and potential for funding?
But what if they did, as part of a Mayoral initiative with surrounding counties or even the gov (as explained above) to dampen ULEZ outrage? The mayor currently is looking at Outer London but what is frequently criticized is that he isn't considering cross-border routes.
Epping's carpark, as mentioned, only has space for 5OO or so cars, lets say there are a average of 3 people per car 5OOx3=15OO. The station's demand averages at 5,OOO people per day.
Deben's carpark only has space 2O6 and averages at 3,OOO though many may be from the town.
Seems like a good reason to reopen and invest.
So? The new line would probably also be in Zone Six or even in Zone Seven. There is demand.
A lot to unpick here.
- Is there demand on the Hainault Loop to warrant an increase in services? Can the infrastructure even tolerate it?
- Epping to Ongar
is single tracked, and any idea of finding the money and land to double track it is fanciful to say the least.
- Given that councils and TfL are mightily cash constrained as it is, spending a shed load of money on a scheme to reintegrate a poorly used branch extension to a couple of small settlements won't be particularly high up the priority list.
- Is the ULEZ outrage from North Weald and Ongar such that it merits spending multi-millions of pounds on this proposal?
- Cross border routes - Ongar and North Weald are, I would suggest, sufficiently far from the London boundary to rightfully not form a part of the Mayors consideration, and nor should they.
- Some very dubious calculations - an
average of 3 people per car? It's far more likely to be 1 or maybe 2 people per car, driving to Epping/Debden as a part of their commute to work. Say 1.5 people per car and that equates to 750 and 309 people at Epping and Debden accordingly - nowhere near the numbers that you state
- North Weald and Ongar stations would not be in Zone Six or Zone Seven. Stations on the Epping branch are exceptional outliers that shouldn't even be in Zone Six - it's more likely that these would be re-zoned. Why on Earth would Ongar, a station that is at least 5 miles outside the Greater London boundary (and that's proabably being generous) be in Zone Six?!
- Finally, on top of all the above, you'll need even more money to purchase the additional trains that would be required to run the extension.
A lot of money for negligible gain - no surprise that it wouldn't pass a cost-benefit analysis.