How much is actually working-from-home related though? There's the additional factors of Xmas holidays (especially with the lieu days thrown in for good measure) and people needing to use up holiday before year-end which for most will be a use-or-lose scenario, especially if you've been saving up leave throughout the year hoping this pandemic might come to an abrupt end. I don't see predicting passenger numbers for next week as a very exact science and I might have been tempted to use next week as a learning exercise before making any changes the following week.Yesterday 1730 LST - Norwich had 50 passengers (used to be around 550) The 1750 had about 60 on it. Commuting to Liverpool St. has dropped off a cliff since working from home again was recommend.
Fair game to James Burles he has done more than any other operator to explain what the reasons are behind it. As i see it the DofT had already expended all the extra cash they were given to support TOCs in 2021/2 FY by late Autumn so with with WFH pushing travelling down again they have had to go to Treasury for a bail and been told to make savings hence this action. These actions are only going to make marginal savings on variable access charges which are small part of costs, EC4T charges with the best savings coming from reduced o/t and RDW if the operator is highly dependant on that to cover work but i don't know. All other costs are largely fixed. The outlier maybe on rolling stock lease charges depending on whether they've got all the legacy units on rolling monthly arrangements now so potentially could rapidly reduce there which is why its being suggested the 379's are being stood down as they were costing the most.You wonder how much choice GA had. There are three references to ’taxpayers’ in Jamie Burles statement, which seems more like a statement prepared by the treasury.
Circulate via Colchester North to get to the Town stationMeanwhile local passenger flows from the Clacton area into Colchester seem to require a long walk up East Hill from Hythe, or catch a bus.
Circulate via Colchester North to get to the Town station
In past times the Peterborough - Ipswich service was of course probably the most cancellable regional service, but Soham station changes that.
That is of course true, but a Sunday service, is a big reduction from that. Who knows? Hopefully it will be OK but 20 minute gaps in the peak at Chelmsford, with the next train being quite full, is a bit of a leap of faith. Don't envy Chelmsford station supervisor on Monday morning.
I've driven the 0604 up a few times over the last few weeks and as I've passed Chelmsford at 0720ish and there hasn't been much more than 20 people waiting there for the one behind me. I can't see it being too hideous, especially as I see the Norwich services are reverting to all stops all day so extra 12 cars that otherwise wouldn't be running. The 0604 itself has been pretty dead anyway.
It does look a bit odd that the off-peak pattern doesn't just run through the peaks. Having Hertford services running to Stratford usually allows more trains to Cambridge in the normal timetable but those stay 2tph in a different part of the hour to the off-peak service.The main complaint on social media seems to have been the loss of Hertford East to Liverpool Street services. Everything from Hertford is running to Stratford.
In the closed thread which was diverted into this one, @richiejv pointed out that the reduced capacity on this emergency timetable is causing crowded trains at his home station.
Not just there... Look at the overall level of custom on this 10 car 720 at about 15.30 this afternoon, from Stratford towards Liverpool Street...
I've also seen Norwich services today at Stratford in both directions with virtually every seat occupied. Another example was I took the 16.36 from Liverpool Street out to Stratford, I was in the 5th from the front ( another 10 car working ) and something like 65% of all the seats in that carriage were occupied - and remember, that's an hour before the peak and quite a walk from the barriers...
View attachment 108548
I see complaints this afternoon that a shoulder peak Liverpool Street - Clacton was formed of 5 coaches versus 10, due to a unit failure. Therefore wedged.
As there are only 5 Great Eastern mainline depatures per hour in the current timetable, so lots of platform capacity at LST, my bright idea is that a long set be held ‘hot spare’ in the station, ready to be deployed in just such an eventuality. I presume there is no shortage of units, given the sparse timetable.
Railway people: hit me with the fifteen reasons why this is impossible, and a silly idea.
Over the last two days there has been a huge number of complaints on social media about overcrowding on the Southend Victoria line.
Speaking to a colleague they would normally operate 5 trains per hour in thr evening peak, this is now down to 2 trains per hour.
Assuming the platforming works for a set to stay there all day, the DfT probably still wouldn't sign off on the "unnecessary" dead mileage and resultant cost in terms of crew hours for the set to be swapped daily. And yes, the degree of micromanagement really is such that they'd have to sign off on that!I see complaints this afternoon that a shoulder peak Liverpool Street - Clacton was formed of 5 coaches versus 10, due to a unit failure. Therefore wedged.
As there are only 5 Great Eastern mainline depatures per hour in the current timetable, so lots of platform capacity at LST, my bright idea is that a long set be held ‘hot spare’ in the station, ready to be deployed in just such an eventuality. I presume there is no shortage of units, given the sparse timetable.
Railway people: hit me with the fifteen reasons why this is impossible, and a silly idea.
Reports elsewhere suggest 10-car 720s on all workings. The relevant question is not whether the trains are overcrowded but whether they are more overcrowded than they were in March 2020 and whether passengers are spreading along the whole of the train.I suspect they are also using 5 car 720s as well.
There is a 22:47 Liverpool St - Norwich Footex relief tomorrow night picking up at Stratford to relieve the 22:30 & 23:30. It even has catering staff booked.Wed 12/01/22
19.45 West Ham v Norwich
19.45 Spurs v Chelsea
Good luck to anyone travelling
There is a 22:47 Liverpool St - Norwich Footex relief tomorrow night picking up at Stratford to relieve the 22:30 & 23:30. It even has catering staff booked.
Glad I am Free Day & N/AThere are a couple of extra VSTP Southend trains that have appeared tonight too, but is that going to be sufficient? Hope all the supporters are Covid free as it’s gonna be cosy.
This is good. I know it's London Overground primarily but wonder what the loadings will be like at White Hart Lane from the Spurs match? Hertford Easts normally pick up an extra call here but as they are doing Northumberland Park instead it will only be 4tph Enfields and 2tph Cheshunts - but surely White Hart Lane station, rebuilt in the way it has been, is much better at handling numbers? Shame extra LOs (or even just the Hertford Easts) can't be sent via Seven Sisters - we used to get a lot of LO extras on match days.There is a 22:47 Liverpool St - Norwich Footex relief tomorrow night picking up at Stratford to relieve the 22:30 & 23:30. It even has catering staff booked.
My picture in reply #44 of the loading indicator yesterday was on board a 10 car 720...Reports elsewhere suggest 10-car 720s on all workings. The relevant question is not whether the trains are overcrowded but whether they are more overcrowded than they were in March 2020 and whether passengers are spreading along the whole of the train.
With cases continuing to fall back especially in L&SE and the mood music sounding good that restrictions on 26th Jan won't be extended along WFH guidance will be dialled back the level of passenger demand will increase further. So lets hope all the TOCs can rapidly reinforce their offerring even if in the short term it has to be targeted to times of the day when capacity is clearly inadequate even if getting back to the Mon-Fri service takes longer (like May TT change in all probability).There are a couple of extra VSTP Southend trains that have appeared tonight too, but is that going to be sufficient? Hope all the supporters are Covid free as it’s gonna be cosy.
Assuming the platforming works for a set to stay there all day, the DfT probably still wouldn't sign off on the "unnecessary" dead mileage and resultant cost in terms of crew hours for the set to be swapped daily. And yes, the degree of micromanagement really is such that they'd have to sign off on that!