• Our new ticketing site is now live! Using either this or the original site (both powered by TrainSplit) helps support the running of the forum with every ticket purchase! Find out more and ask any questions/give us feedback in this thread!

Airport expansions

Tetchytyke

Veteran Member
Joined
12 Sep 2013
Messages
14,809
Location
Isle of Man
But there isn’t a glut of Heathrow slots - you’re just making yourself look silly suggesting there is.
There will be when a third runway gets built, non?
Heathrow’s fees are capped by the CAA (otherwise known as the government). This year the maximum it can charge is pretty much unchanged from last year.
And those fees are based on the fixed asset register of Heathrow. The capital costs of the expansion will, of course, be added in full to that register and the fees will rise accordingly.

So, the Chancellor backs the new runway, yet she was apparently opposed to the expansion of Leeds Bradford airport which is near her own constituency…..
Yes In Someone Else's Back Yard. Always the way with these people.
 
Sponsor Post - registered members do not see these adverts; click here to register, or click here to log in
R

RailUK Forums

Skymonster

Established Member
Joined
7 Feb 2012
Messages
1,994
There will be when a third runway gets built, non?
I thought that’s how business works. At an optimum time before demand exceeds supply, you expand. For a time after that expansion takes place you may have excess capacity, until demand catches up again. And so the cycle continues while ever there is growth in the market. There is absolutely no evidence that any additional capacity created at Heathrow will not be used in the fullness of time; if there was, the owners wouldn’t increase capacity as much as they aim to do.
 

renegademaster

Established Member
Joined
22 Jun 2023
Messages
1,700
Location
Croydon
Yes politicians will always be hypocritical and be nimbys in their own places and yimbys everywhere else. Keir done the same with HS2.

We have to build infrastructure in someone's backyard for the national interest, otherwise we build nothing at all and nothing ever gets better
 

Skymonster

Established Member
Joined
7 Feb 2012
Messages
1,994
It needs one about as much as Heathrow needs a third runway.
Leeds is not runway slot constrained, but there will be a need for more terminal capacity in the region in the not too distant future. The imperative to expand Leeds [compared to Heathrow] is diminished because there’s another airport with a nice long runway not too far away, and it is currently completely unused at the moment but could be reactivated quickly - and the local council wants it to be. Leeds doesn’t rely on connecting traffic - its a point-to-point airport. Thus it is more viable to deliver additional capacity from a runway and terminal a few miles to the southeast, than it would be if Leeds was a hub.

I’ve already pointed out why Heathrow needs a third runway and produced real data to back up my assertion: at most times of day there are no runway slots available, and very little passenger capacity unaccounted for within the terminals. Heathrow is a hub, so airlines that rely on the network business model can’t always as viably offer extra capacity from a few miles down the road instead.
 

AlastairFraser

Established Member
Joined
12 Aug 2018
Messages
3,273
The point being both have decent rail links and motorways to them.
As I said, you could build 2 tolled road tunnels towards the M25 and to Sheppey if you wanted from the Foulness site. Yes, it would subsequently be expensive to travel by road to them, but I'm content with that option.
Maplin, Foulness, Thames Estuary are all in the wrong place. In the middle of nowhere miles from passengers. The Roskill Commission choice of Cublington\ RAF Wing \Calvert is far superior in terms of transport links both rail and road.
Foulness would be nearly entirely on government land and close to the sea. You'd also be able to close Southend Airport and perhaps London City (with an express rail link from the City and the Docklands), so you'd be able to reduce a lot of air movements over densely populated areas. Expropriating a load of land in rural Bucks (an area of the country with a huge concentration of NIMBYs) is just not realistic at all.

Heathrow is a hub, so airlines that rely on the network business model can’t always as viably offer extra capacity from a few miles down the road instead
Here's an interesting idea - if Heathrow funded part of the HS4Air high speed railway to Gatwick instead, could you offer many more transfer tickets using some of the new 2nd runway capacity at Gatwick for the second leg instead?
 

renegademaster

Established Member
Joined
22 Jun 2023
Messages
1,700
Location
Croydon
If for a laugh you want to set off a nimby battle and have a new commercial airport with no rail link and long winded road route to London, you could always give Biggin Hill the commercial licence it wants
 

Magdalia

Established Member
Joined
1 Jan 2022
Messages
4,717
Location
The Fens
So, the Chancellor backs the new runway, yet she was apparently opposed to the expansion of Leeds Bradford airport which is near her own constituency…..
The speech did include a proposal to reopen Doncaster/Sheffield airport.

I would like to look at Heathrow figures quoted by the Chancellor in the speech but I haven't found a full transcript yet.
 

thejuggler

Established Member
Joined
8 Jan 2016
Messages
1,338
So, the Chancellor backs the new runway, yet she was apparently opposed to the expansion of Leeds Bradford airport which is near her own constituency…..
I'm not aware of any firm proposals to expand Leeds Bradford over and above the work which is already happening and will be complete by the summer, or any announcment that the Chancellor opposes this expansion.
 

TravelDream

Member
Joined
7 Aug 2016
Messages
841
So on the one hand you argue that Heathrow simply must expand to "improve connectivity" (whatever that means) and then on the other hand you argue that Gatwick and Stansted- neither of which are at capacity either- are perfectly attractive airports in their own right.

Of course Gatwick, Stansted, and Luton are attractive airports.

But they serve quite different markets.

If, hypothetically, a Myanmar carrier wanted to serve London, they would have one preferred airport. But it is full. The only way to get in is to buy/ trade slots. At the times they would want (Asian arrival into London means early morning is the best time), the slots are in most demand and most expensive.
If a Albanian LCC wanted to enter the London market, they'd rather somewhere like Stansted more set up for low cost operations.

Luton, Stansted and Gatwick are all constrained by infrastructure/ slots too.
Gatwick is the businest single runway airport in the world.
Stansted, for example, might have a fair amount of capacity on certain parts of the day, but no for a departure between 5.45m and 7.30am when any based aircraft would need to depart to operate profitably.
That's why they all want to expand and have private investors willing to pay for it.

Foulness would be nearly entirely on government land and close to the sea.

Awful location that just doesn't make sense given the 100,000s of jobs and thousands and thousands of businesses in West London and the M4 corridor that Heathrow supports.
 

AlastairFraser

Established Member
Joined
12 Aug 2018
Messages
3,273
Awful location that just doesn't make sense given the 100,000s of jobs and thousands and thousands of businesses in West London and the M4 corridor that Heathrow supports.
People can relocate. There's no point expanding an airport that is not fit for purpose as it is, let alone adding another runway.
 

londonbridge

Established Member
Joined
30 Jun 2010
Messages
1,660
To clarify my earlier post, Ms Reeves opposition to the Leeds Bradford development was back in 2020….NIMBY behaviour in my book.
 

TravelDream

Member
Joined
7 Aug 2016
Messages
841
People can relocate. There's no point expanding an airport that is not fit for purpose as it is, let alone adding another runway.

It's madness though as it would cause massive disruption and cost many many billions of pounds to both government and private business. It would also decimate a whole, highly economically productive region of the UK.

The whole purpose of supporting R3 at Heathrow is economic growth, not destruction.

Nobody says Heathrow is the ideal location for an airport, but the alternatives just aren't viable. And I mean none of the alternatives.
 

brad465

Established Member
Joined
11 Aug 2010
Messages
8,543
Location
Taunton or Kent
So, the Chancellor backs the new runway, yet she was apparently opposed to the expansion of Leeds Bradford airport which is near her own constituency…..
It needs one about as much as Heathrow needs a third runway.

IIRC Reeves lives quite near to Leeds/Bradford airport and would be affected by the noise. Funny that.
Ministers are not allowed to make decisions on projects/plans that directly impact their own constituency. If there was a plan to work on that airport, someone else would have to sign it off or block it. Yes another Minister could easily be in cahoots with them, but if that were the case I'd think this would have been plastered all over the news by now.
 

DMckduck

Member
Joined
26 Jul 2020
Messages
398
So, the Chancellor backs the new runway, yet she was apparently opposed to the expansion of Leeds Bradford airport which is near her own constituency…..
Her and the prime minister are fighting for their lives, they aren't necessarily doing the things they want to at this point.

Will be intrigued how they manage the M4/M25 bottleneck with increased demand.

Will only get one attempt at it so it will need to be a good job, J14 on the m25 is already notoriously busy 7 days a week currently.
 

Magdalia

Established Member
Joined
1 Jan 2022
Messages
4,717
Location
The Fens
Her and the prime minister are fighting for their lives, they aren't necessarily doing the things they want to at this point.
The government has a large majority in parliament and the next general election is anything up to 4½ years away.
 

Wolfie

Established Member
Joined
17 Aug 2010
Messages
6,965
So, the Chancellor backs the new runway, yet she was apparently opposed to the expansion of Leeds Bradford airport which is near her own constituency…..
Indeed. It is fascinating to hear so many Northern accents pooh-pooh concerns about London while blocking any such developments in their own back yards. One word - HYPOCRITES - applies.

The government has a large majority in parliament and the next general election is anything up to 4½ years away.
Liz Truss had over two years and a decent majority - how long did she last?

The government has a large majority in parliament and the next general election is anything up to 4½ years away.
Liz Truss had over two years and a decent majority - how long did she last?
 

YorkRailFan

Established Member
Joined
6 Sep 2023
Messages
1,983
Location
York
The Transport Committee wants to examine how existing Transport links to Heathrow will cope with extra passengers as a result of the third runway and how it fits in with Government's Net Zero targets:
Responding to the Chancellor of the Exchequer’s announcements regarding expansion of airports in the south east of England, Transport Committee Chair Ruth Cadbury said:

“The Chancellor’s drive for economic growth and investment in infrastructure is welcome. But the Transport Committee now wants to unpick how clear the links between airport expansion and growth – across the whole country – truly are. We will hold an evidence session on this question in the next few weeks.

“Having more planes in the air and passengers moving to and from airports also needs to be weighed against our obligations to cut carbon emissions. These proposals should also be set in the context of other transport networks that would serve our major and regional airports, as well as changing trends in consumer habits and costs. In due course, the Committee will carry out detailed scrutiny of the Government’s strategic approach to air travel, and how all the pieces of the puzzle might fit together.”

A sensible move by the Committee, Government now needs to commit to new transport links to Heathrow to compliment the third runway. At the very least, the Western Rail Link and Southern Rail Link should be built, to boost connections and Links to Heathrow. To not invest in new links to Heathrow would be detrimental.
 

Magdalia

Established Member
Joined
1 Jan 2022
Messages
4,717
Location
The Fens
The Transport Committee wants to examine how existing Transport links to Heathrow will cope with extra passengers as a result of the third runway and how it fits in with Government's Net Zero targets
That's the Transport Committee chaired by Ruth Cadbury, MP for Brentford and Isleworth.

Liz Truss had over two years and a decent majority - how long did she last?
Starmer and Reeves have already lasted much longer than any lettuce.
 

jfollows

Established Member
Joined
26 Feb 2011
Messages
7,852
Location
Wilmslow
It’s 16 years since the last Labour government approved the third runway at Heathrow, it’ll be at least ten more years before it’s built, if it’s built, lots of hurdles to leap between now and then.
 

Wolfie

Established Member
Joined
17 Aug 2010
Messages
6,965
It’s 16 years since the last Labour government approved the third runway at Heathrow, it’ll be at least ten more years before it’s built, if it’s built, lots of hurdles to leap between now and then.
Given that Sadiq Khan is adamantly opposed there must be a prospect of him litigating.... That would be entertaining.
 

thejuggler

Established Member
Joined
8 Jan 2016
Messages
1,338
To clarify my earlier post, Ms Reeves opposition to the Leeds Bradford development was back in 2020….NIMBY behaviour in my book.
Thanks for clarifying.

Her objection was a very easy political decision to make to be on side of the constituents as the airport had an extant permission to expand. Whether she supported or objected she knew expansion would happen (the applicants had said they would implement the alternative) and that work is now well underway.
 

Snow1964

Established Member
Joined
7 Oct 2019
Messages
8,060
Location
West Wiltshire
It’s 16 years since the last Labour government approved the third runway at Heathrow, it’ll be at least ten more years before it’s built, if it’s built, lots of hurdles to leap between now and then.
Yes quite likely, although if Chinese got build contract, would probably be built within 2 years. Heavy machinery will have started before a planning officer had time to said maybe, but need x, y, and mitigation z
 

RailWonderer

Established Member
Joined
25 Jul 2018
Messages
1,945
Location
All around the network
It’s 16 years since the last Labour government approved the third runway at Heathrow, it’ll be at least ten more years before it’s built, if it’s built, lots of hurdles to leap between now and then.
It's up to the government to cut red tape and deregulate. Big infrastructure for the national interest should not be subject to local opposition.
 

BrianW

Established Member
Joined
22 Mar 2017
Messages
1,828
Doing nothing would also mean that one of the world's major airports continues to burst at the seams with increasing delays, worsening passenger experience and damaging the local a national economies.

How are those 1.5m homes going to be built if the construction industry spends the next 20 years working on a new airport in the middle of nowhere?
Modular Methods of Construction are quicker and of higher quality than the 'traditional' built by cowboys. They need not look like boxes or barrack blocks. Mass customisation is possible- like 'extras' on a car.

It does however require a constant stream of work; certainty in order to support the investment.
 

Magdalia

Established Member
Joined
1 Jan 2022
Messages
4,717
Location
The Fens
I now have a link to the full transcript of the speech, which is here:


Speech

Chancellor vows to go further and faster to kickstart economic growth​

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves spoke at Siemens Healthineers in Oxfordshire on 29 January 2025.

The statistics about Heathrow quoted by the Chancellor are here:

Heathrow is at the heart of the UK’s openness as a country.

It connects us to emerging markets all over the world, opening up new opportunities for growth.

Around three-quarters of all long-haul flights in the UK go from Heathrow.

Over 60% of UK air freight comes through Heathrow.

And about 15 million business travellers used Heathrow in 2023.

But for decades, its growth has been constrained.

Successive studies have shown that this really matters for our economy.

According to the most recent study from Frontier Economics, a third runway could increase potential GDP by 0.43% by 2050.

Over half – 60% of that boost, would go to areas outside London and the South-East.

… increasing trade opportunities for products like Scotch whiskey and Scottish salmon - already two of the biggest British exports out of Heathrow.
I also heard an interview with Willie Walsh on the radio. He was surprisingly lukewarm about expanding Heathrow and much more enthusiastic about expanding Gatwick, manly because of greater speed and greater certainty.
 
Joined
2 Feb 2019
Messages
511
It’s 16 years since the last Labour government approved the third runway at Heathrow, it’ll be at least ten more years before it’s built, if it’s built, lots of hurdles to leap between now and then.
Yes quite likely, although if Chinese got build contract, would probably be built within 2 years. Heavy machinery will have started before a planning officer had time to said maybe, but need x, y, and mitigation z
2040 appears to be the expected date when the third runway at Heathrow Airport would be completed and opened if it can be funded and built. This is the view from China.
British government backs Heathrow Airport expansion plan
Xinhua | Updated: 2025-01-30 00:43
If approved, the planning process could take over 15 years, with completion of the third runway expected by 2040.
This is the view from Ryanair.
Ryanair boss describes the Chancellor’s Heathrow expansion as a ‘dead cat’ and she ‘hasn’t a clue’
O’Leary said, “The third runway at Heathrow is a dead cat.
“If it ever arrives, it will be about 2040, 2045 or 2050, in fact long after I’ve departed from Ryanair.
“It will not deliver any growth.
 

DMckduck

Member
Joined
26 Jul 2020
Messages
398
I now have a link to the full transcript of the speech, which is here:




The statistics about Heathrow quoted by the Chancellor are here:


I also heard an interview with Willie Walsh on the radio. He was surprisingly lukewarm about expanding Heathrow and much more enthusiastic about expanding Gatwick, manly because of greater speed and greater certainty.
Gatwick is simply much easier to expand, although question marks around whether the Brighton mainline could handle the extra capacity?
 

Top