I’ve had a look through the new timetables and for me I don’t think there’s going to be too much movement of vehicles.
195-196 returning to service at ECB seems a fairly obvious one and I would be very surprised if this didn’t happen. Wouldn’t expect much else here for now.
Central I don’t think will require any extra vehicles. 22’s withdrawal from Leith and frequency reduction on the remaining section should pretty much make up the numbers for the extra buses on the 11 and 16. If the 1 was to fully revert back to single decks (possibly gaining 16-18) then this could allow 927, 1141-1142 to move to Marine as well, there’s also some of 1014-1018 that could be looked at too. If I’m honest not so sure they’ll move though. It’s difficult to say what will happen here as I’m pretty sure 927, 1141-1142 are covering for the remaining 11 plate B9TL’s that are being repainted. Ultimately I don’t think Central will gain/lose anything.
The increase of frequency to the 26 should mean there are less of 466-495 on other routes now too - it will still happen though, just probably less often. I suspect what might happen here is the 45 could revert back to single deck all the time (so a few extra 7900’s to Marine, maybe 36-37?) and factor in what I suggested above about Central’s double decks then that should free up enough double decks for the 26. I do think what I suggested about the 45 could happen, but not the extra double decks.
So from the 7900’s that then leaves 16-35, of which 10 of them are in use at Longstone - 37 is as well but let’s assume that’s been moved to Marine, so 11 in total in use at Longstone.
Longstone would probably still only need 11 as a number of these 7900’s are often not out. That would then leave 9 for Central to possibly use on the 1 and 24 if a decision is ever made to revert that back to single decks. So I would expect a minimum of 11 7900’s to remain in use at Longstone, possibly more with the remainder staying VOR.
Should also say if the 2 was to revert fully to single deck as well and all the others have too then this is where 171-175, 186-190 will be needed again. Worth pointing out I can’t see where 201-215 would go at the minute, not enough increases from what I can see for them to be used.
In a practical sense it’s tricky to say what routes (if any) will revert back to single decks. But I would expect some vehicles movements for these changes, just not a lot.