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Off peak/peak v Advance

Bletchleyite

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In the way it’s possible to build Crossrail 2, build two new runways at Heathrow, or four track the Northern line. Some things are just not going to be deemed cost effective.

All of those things are far more difficult than obtaining and running EMUs on an extant railway line, even if that might have had to be at the expense of other places.

Here's one that'd cost nowt - send all the Euston-Birmingham-Scotland services to Edinburgh rather than Glasgow. Glasgow loses, but that's more cheap capacity for Edinburgh.
 
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Tetchytyke

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Would the signalling system have had capacity to do this (they aren’t compatible with ETCS IIRC). And would there have been sufficient depot/stabling space?
It's not that they're not compatible, it's that the equipment wasn't installed because the remaining 12 Class 91s are intended to be scrapped once the CAFs arrive. The railway could install the equipment and refurbish the locomotives, they just chose not to.

As for depot space, I don't see why it would be an issue- the Azumas had their own special depot built for them at Doncaster.
 

signed

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It's certainly easier for airlines to do it, but it is possible for the railway to do it. The DfT is just choosing not to.
Airlines don't have to deal with UK Gauge trains, UK systems, signalling... They get one model "off the shelf", it's much cheaper comparatively because all airplane systems are identical across the world.

It's also not like Hitachi wants to deal with the UK market anymore seeing the issues with the IETs

Yet they still not order over what they think the market is going to be.

I do not call that artificial scarcity, it's combing within the means of the system and the cheapstake government.

What is artificial scarcity is SNCF operation, they order stupidly low rolling stock numbers, when they have never made such financials gains and the market is obviously still growing, to just jack up the price.
In a country where railroad capacity is plentiful in most parts of the country, and the manufacturer is their best buddy.
 
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Haywain

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advance fares only benefit the TOCs.
So, when I buy Advance tickets because I can plan ahead, can get the times I want and travel first class while paying less than I would for standard class walk-up tickets you are saying that only the TOC is benefitting? In what way would I be better off by paying a higher price for an inferior product?
 

Mainline421

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So, when I buy Advance tickets because I can plan ahead, can get the times I want and travel first class while paying less than I would for standard class walk-up tickets you are saying that only the TOC is benefitting? In what way would I be better off by paying a higher price for an inferior product?
Obviously the average fare would not be higher in a world without Advances, that's how the market works. The amount of people actually getting really good value advances will be significantly less than 5 % on any given train, and even people who view themselves as savvy will most likely lose out on money over their lifetime as just one missed train, illness, or change of plans could wipe out years of savings, not to mention the additional money spent on refreshments or activities to pass the time until their booked train which few will ever account for. Upgrading to first class is an edge case where some will benefit, although this is largely because of the lack of Railcard discounts and Off-Peak fares in 1st, and I personally found Seatfrog and Weekend First paired with walk up fares to workout better.
 

Bletchleyite

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I do not call that artificial scarcity, it's combing within the means of the system and the cheapstake government.

The "cheapskate Government" are making exactly that decision.

And there are fleets of EMUs parked up...

What is artificial scarcity is SNCF operation, they order stupidly low rolling stock numbers, when they have never made such financials gains and the market is obviously still growing, to just jack up the price.
In a country where railroad capacity is plentiful in most parts of the country, and the manufacturer is their best buddy.

Yet SNCF's fares are usually far more reasonable than UK ones. With the exception of "Eurostar Red" which really does take the mick, though do SNCF have a share in that now?
 

Haywain

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Obviously the average fare would not be higher in a world without Advances, that's how the market works.
That's just wishful thinking.
I personally found Seatfrog and Weekend First paired with walk up fares to workout better.
You may have found that but it doesn't apply to my case - it doesn't even come close to working. And even without going first class the saving by booking early is substantial. I accept that may not apply to all journeys but your claim that only TOCs benefit from Advance tickets is plainly nonsense.
 

signed

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With the exception of "Eurostar Red" which really does take the mick, though do SNCF have a share in that now?
Yes, Eurostar (both red and blue) is SNCF majority shareholder, then Ontario Pension fund, then SNCB from what I can remember
Yet SNCF's fares are usually far more reasonable than UK ones.
Until when is the question. It will become unaffordable real fast, there aren't enough trains, it's plain and simple. They only order 115 TGV-M sets, and have enough s* in their pants to send 15 of them to Italy to compete with themselves (SNCF is a shareholder in NTV (company behind Italo)).

They are hammering the fact that TGV is not public service (which is indeed right, but we all know what that means, they (read the government) want to rip off the travellers), they sneakily modify the ceilling fares of the railcards, fares have never been higher, the fee-free period to change your ticket has been pushed back from 3 days to 6 days...

It's all the small things that show it.

The "cheapskate Government" are making exactly that decision.
It is not artificial when the cash isn't there (I know, it's not true, but that is the public view into it), it is artificial when there are all the means to do it and they don't do crap (i.e. SNCF).
 

stevieinselby

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In my opinion, there should only be two types of tickets available for all flows - off peak (anytime after morning peak) and anytime (self explanatory), which would infinitely simplify ticketing on the railway. Off peak fares should "meet in the middle" between the current advance and off peak prices, which would mean the large majority of passengers would see a fare reduction, which would induce more train journeys.
How many of the long-distance operators could cope with inducing any significant number more journeys? The "fares trial" scam that LNER have implemented has been because they couldn't cope with the number of off-peak passengers and so needed to squeeze the numbers down.
GTRs revenue is roughly equivalent to LNER+AWC+1/2GWR so most people would discount Intercity revenue as not significant.
I don't know where you've got your stats from, but ORR7223 gives income in 2023/24 as:
Total: £10,786m / GTR £1,530m / LNER £861m / AWC £1,088m / XC £471m / GWR £1,129m / GA £687m

That puts LNER and AWC comfortably more than GTR. If we estimate 75% of XC and 50% of GWR and GA income is for intercity services, that gives a total revenue for intercity of £3,210m, or about a third of the total for all franchised operators, which is very definitely significant.
On the day advances are all very well, but there is no guarantee there will be one available at an affordable price when one needs to travel.
On-the-day advances are purely a gimmick to allow the TOC to avoid sharing revenue with other operators, and have no place on the railways going forwards.
And also to remove the embarrassment of the annual fares round - you can surreptitiously tweak with quotas to increase fares without it being visible if everything is Advances. Nobody ever talks of the Ryanair annual fares round.
Quite. We want fares to be transparent and to be able to look at price increases over time and report them fairly. Advance purchase tickets are like a magic black box where we can't see what the allocations are for each fare, so it allows the railways to impose stealth increases above and beyond any increase to the sticker price by reducing the quotas of cheap fares.
Advances are also a very simple ticket type: booked train only, if you miss it then you've paid £100 for a useless piece of orange cardboard.
Except that if you are making a connection, the connecting service may or may not be covered by the same rules about booked train only.
And if you miss a booked train because of a delay in an earlier leg of your journey then your ticket will still be honoured.
So even there, the rules aren't quite as clear cut as you suggest!
 

Tetchytyke

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The "fares trial" scam that LNER have implemented has been because they couldn't cope with the number of off-peak passengers and so needed to squeeze the numbers down.
The "fares trial" had nothing to do with capacity and everything to do with revenue generation.

Off-peak fares acted as a 'price cap'. Abolish the off-peak fare for "simplicity" and, hey presto, you've also got rid of the 'price cap'.

LNER didn't get rid of the off-peak fares because trains were too overcrowded, they did it because they thought they could make more money on Sunday afternoons by making the change.

Except that if you are making a connection, the connecting service may or may not be covered by the same rules about booked train only.
All connecting services are covered by the 'booked train only' rule, even services which do not offer reservations or 'counted place' reservations.


4.4 If the ‘Route’ also states ‘and Connections’, travel is allowed on appropriate connecting trains where shown on the ticket(s) or other valid travel itinerary.

And if you miss a booked train because of a delay in an earlier leg of your journey then your ticket will still be honoured.
Well yes, if you are on time for your booked train and it is delayed then your ticket will still be honoured.
 

paul1609

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How many of the long-distance operators could cope with inducing any significant number more journeys? The "fares trial" scam that LNER have implemented has been because they couldn't cope with the number of off-peak passengers and so needed to squeeze the numbers down.

I don't know where you've got your stats from, but ORR7223 gives income in 2023/24 as:
Total: £10,786m / GTR £1,530m / LNER £861m / AWC £1,088m / XC £471m / GWR £1,129m / GA £687m

That puts LNER and AWC comfortably more than GTR. If we estimate 75% of XC and 50% of GWR and GA income is for intercity services, that gives a total revenue for intercity of £3,210m, or about a third of the total for all franchised operators, which is very definitely significant.
Yes you are quite correct, I should have said GTR + SE = LNER+ AWC+1/2 GWR
 

infobleep

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Off peak fares are regulated, which means they are not allowed to be increased by more than RPI+. Abolishing them and leaving the Anytime as the only walk up fare with at least the same utility and availability is effectively an unauthorised price increase.
Well, why hasn't someone taken them to court if it's illegal?

Presumably the pricing should he dynamic/flexible enough to ensure they trains are priced to a level that ensures full trains. The London - Birmingham market might well support lower prices than the London - Scotland market.
What is causing it to support lower prices if it is doing so?

What you mean is commissioning brand new fleets of UK loading gauge stock - well we’ve seen how painful that is in recent years! Then you still have limited station platforms, signalling systems and stabling. Changing these takes years and costs billions, so it is hardly “artificial scarcity”.

Airlines can just wet lease aircraft and crews for a period of high demand - potentially from abroad - the two are simply not comparable.
The planes they lease have to stored somwhere though. I accept it might be easier but there still have to be somewhere for them to stable.

As one of the aforementioned business travellers (on average a long distance trip a week for the last 3 years), remote work technology makes flexibility less important. Meeting finishes early? Find a coffee shop/co-working space/empty meeting room on site and get some work done. Of my long distance/Advance ticketable journeys I would say I book Advances 95% of the time because I simply don't need or want to pay a premium to move things around .

Seat reservations on a journey over 1 hour are essential IMO. I want confidence I have a seat so I can be productive. Removing them would be insanity.
You obviously don't live in the Sourh East where journeys of over an hour without seat reservations are not uncommon. In fact getting a seat reservation is uncommon.
 
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A S Leib

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You obviously don't live in the Sourh East where journeys of over an hour without seat reservations are not uncommon. In fact getting a seat reservation is uncommon.
But there's a big difference in train lengths between much of the southeast (a few exceptions like Chiltern at times aside) and non-London services in most of the rest of the UK.
 

infobleep

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On-the-day advances are purely a gimmick to allow the TOC to avoid sharing revenue with other operators, and have no place on the railways going forwards.
The government now takes the revenue and all the risks and the TOC is paid a management fee. So this sharing revenue idea shouldn't be happening. Yea they they pay have reasons for on the day advances but it shouldn't be due to wanting to keep revenue when they don't keep it
 

paul1609

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The LNER trial was not done "at the whim of the operator", it was agreed with DfT as it is something they themselves wanted to trial too. Thus it is legal.
LNER are of course a wholly owned subsidiary of DFT Operator Ltd and have been so for many years now.
 

Starmill

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But it is still a choice. And the poster suggesting they would not go to Scotland because they were limiting themselves to only buying flexible tickets, and did not want to pay nearly £400 with LNER, has that choice.
It's a choice of five services in the case of Lumo, yes. But of course you are unlikely to be sitting down on any of those unless you have a reservation because they're very limited in seating, and a four and a half hour journey without a proper seat isn't anyone's idea of £190 well spent. So you're limited to an absolute maximum of five journey opportunities and in practice maybe just one or two.

I think Avanti can be ignored as they're more expensive than Lumo for a service which takes longer even if you change trains, and much longer if you don't.

Quite what that "choice" is worth is rather dubious - depending on how the customer values their time it may actually represent worse value for money than the £410 option. No doubt that's partly why the person who made the comment hasn't used that option, rather than it being because, as you have heavily implied, they simply hadn't looked properly?
 

Mainline421

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It's a choice of five services in the case of Lumo, yes. But of course you are unlikely to be sitting down on any of those unless you have a reservation because they're very limited in seating, and a four and a half hour journey without a proper seat isn't anyone's idea of £190 well spent.
It's very unlikely you won't find a seat, there are almost always reservations available, and 6 non-reservable seats on every Lumo train.
 
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The main issue I see with Advances on shorter journeys is the break of journey/ending early restriction.
That is why I will never accept them even if they are offered for free. I will not accept a condition that makes the ticket invalid if I leave the train before the specified destination.
 
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Out of interest, why? You presumably wouldn’t expect that on a coach or aircraft.
I may have to leave the train for many reasons including a medical emergency and I will not accept a condition that makes the ticket invalid for having to leave the train before the destination regardless of the reason. I am not prepared to argue with the train operator over the reason including a medical emergency. I will not accept the condition and I have made this clear to train operators including LNER.
 

43066

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I may have to leave the train for many reasons including a medical emergency and I will not accept a condition that makes the ticket invalid for having to leave the train before the destination regardless of the reason. I am not prepared to argue with the train operator over the reason including a medical emergency. I will not accept the condition and I have made this clear to train operators including LNER.

That seems a highly unusual thing to be concerned about, to the point where you wouldn’t even use them if you were gone to you for free!?

If don’t accept a condition the way to “make this clear” is not to buy advanced tickets, which of course is your prerogative. The system is designed to offer a range of tickets for this reason
- to enable people to make choices according to their budget and other preferences.
 

Bald Rick

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Out of interest, why? You presumably wouldn’t expect that on a coach or aircraft.

To be fair, I wouldnt want to leave an aircraft before it arrived at it’s destination!

I may have to leave the train for many reasons including a medical emergency and I will not accept a condition that makes the ticket invalid for having to leave the train before the destination regardless of the reason. I am not prepared to argue with the train operator over the reason including a medical emergency. I will not accept the condition and I have made this clear to train operators including LNER.

Well that is your choice. Not a choice I would make, nor most of the travelling public, but you are entitled to it.
 

Haywain

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I may have to leave the train for many reasons including a medical emergency and I will not accept a condition that makes the ticket invalid for having to leave the train before the destination regardless of the reason. I am not prepared to argue with the train operator over the reason including a medical emergency.
Are you particularly prone to medical emergencies?
I will not accept the condition and I have made this clear to train operators including LNER.
You have clearly made them sit up and take notice, judging by how they have changed their ways.
 

styles

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I may have to leave the train for many reasons including a medical emergency and I will not accept a condition that makes the ticket invalid for having to leave the train before the destination regardless of the reason. I am not prepared to argue with the train operator over the reason including a medical emergency. I will not accept the condition and I have made this clear to train operators including LNER.
I'm sure train operating companies are seen as evil by many passengers, but if you had a medical emergency, and this could be evidenced to a reasonable standard, you wouldn't be pursued for penalties or prosecution. This seems like a very misguided view towards ticket types and enforcement action imo.
 

Starmill

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It's very unlikely you won't find a seat, there are almost always reservations available, and 6 non-reservable seats on every Lumo train.
I don't count tip down seats and there are lots of trains where there's no reservations available over the next week.

I don't know where you've got your stats from, but ORR7223 gives income in 2023/24 as:
Total: £10,786m / GTR £1,530m / LNER £861m / AWC £1,088m / XC £471m / GWR £1,129m / GA £687m

That puts LNER and AWC comfortably more than GTR. If we estimate 75% of XC and 50% of GWR and GA income is for intercity services, that gives a total revenue for intercity of £3,210m, or about a third of the total for all franchised operators, which is very definitely significant.
Sounded like a more apt description of the 2019 position to me.
 

Mainline421

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I don't count tip down seats and there are lots of trains where there's no reservations available over the next week.
Nor was I, that would add another 20 seats assuming 2 per vestibule. Aside from the 17th every train has reservations free, and this is rare enough to warrant a large banner on the homepage of their website, so not a common occurrence.
"On Monday 17th March, we are expecting our 10:45, 12:18 and 14:48 Northbound services to Edinburgh to be extremely busy. If you don't have a seat reservation, you will have to stand. If you would like to travel on an alternative service, please contact [email protected]"
Screenshot 2025-03-10 at 19-49-10 Cheap Electric Train Tickets Edinburgh London & Newcastle Tr...png
 
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Starmill

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Nor was I, that would add another 20 seats assuming 2 per vestibule. Aside from the 17th every train has reservations free, and this is rare enough to warrant a large banner on the homepage of their website, so not a common occurrence.
"On Monday 17th March, we are expecting our 10:45, 12:18 and 14:48 Northbound services to Edinburgh to be extremely busy. If you don't have a seat reservation, you will have to stand. If you would like to travel on an alternative service, please contact [email protected]"
View attachment 176062
There are plenty further away but of course they wouldn't be there on the day. And that's when they're really relevant to the person who has paid extra for an off peak ticket. LNER have an actually usable number of unreservable seats.
 

miami

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Some people salivate at the idea of controlling other peoples lives. "You will travel from here to here, do not pass go, do not collect £200. No you can't get off early because you can get a lift from the station, no you can't stay for one extra pint because you just saw an old friend, no you can't sit on the other side of the train because the sun is in your eyes, no you can't decide the weather is nice so you're going to extend that walk, no you can't decide the weather is terrible so you're going to leave early"

It's sad, but that's fine, until they take over the railway because choice and freedom is "too complicated"
 

A S Leib

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Some people salivate at the idea of controlling other peoples lives. "You will travel from here to here, do not pass go, do not collect £200. No you can't get off early because you can get a lift from the station, no you can't stay for one extra pint because you just saw an old friend, no you can't sit on the other side of the train because the sun is in your eyes, no you can't decide the weather is nice so you're going to extend that walk, no you can't decide the weather is terrible so you're going to leave early"

It's sad, but that's fine, until they take over the railway because choice and freedom is "too complicated"
Whilst some of us have been advocating for a wide variety of tickets – anytime, off-peak, advance – to be available, so as many passengers as possible can get the type of ticket which best matches their need / desire.
 

paul1609

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To be fair, I wouldnt want to leave an aircraft before it arrived at it’s destination!
I have only left a plane before it reached its destination (near Honiton) three times, on the first occasion it required a Royal Marines boot to take the decision out of my hands. Im glad he did because in hindsight Id have felt a bit stupid arriving at the destination. I bravely tried another couple of times where I left voluntarily and honour was satisfied.
My 3 in 8 days rover then expired and I decicided that whilst I had enjoyed the experience it wasnt quite my thing.
 

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