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Paddington to Bristol Parkway non stop

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43074

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Is Bristol in 93-100 minutes too slow?

Arguably yes; that's only an average speed of 75mph, Roger Ford wrote an article in Modern Railways in 2012 where he argued average speeds of 80-90mph were needed for rail to be competitive which is a journey time between 1hr18 and 1hr27.

Given the coach journey time is 2.5 hours from Bristol to London that compares unfavourably given where Paddington is (albeit the Elizabeth Line has made Paddington more accessible).
 
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Techniquest

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I see the point about Plymouth in under 3 hours, it does make the difference. When Hereford-Paddington services got sped up significantly, following the IET introduction, it made the GWR route much more competitive with other options. I think some of the journeys are now around the 2h50m mark, the 0643 Hereford-Paddington when I last looked was 3h4m, which is significantly faster than the HST days. I don't remember the journey times on the HST timetable right now, someone with better memory will no doubt have the data to hand, but they are significantly better than they used to be.

If Plymouth got such timing improvements, I do think that would make a big difference. Paddington-Reading-Exeter-Plymouth, even on just a handful of trains a day would be welcome. Especially on the full journey to Penzance!
 

The Planner

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Arguably yes; that's only an average speed of 75mph, Roger Ford wrote an article in Modern Railways in 2012 where he argued average speeds of 80-90mph were needed for rail to be competitive which is a journey time between 1hr18 and 1hr27.

Given the coach journey time is 2.5 hours from Bristol to London that compares unfavourably given where Paddington is (albeit the Elizabeth Line has made Paddington more accessible).
1 hr 40 is unfavorable vs 2 hr 30??
 

irish_rail

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I see the point about Plymouth in under 3 hours, it does make the difference. When Hereford-Paddington services got sped up significantly, following the IET introduction, it made the GWR route much more competitive with other options. I think some of the journeys are now around the 2h50m mark, the 0643 Hereford-Paddington when I last looked was 3h4m, which is significantly faster than the HST days. I don't remember the journey times on the HST timetable right now, someone with better memory will no doubt have the data to hand, but they are significantly better than they used to be.

If Plymouth got such timing improvements, I do think that would make a big difference. Paddington-Reading-Exeter-Plymouth, even on just a handful of trains a day would be welcome. Especially on the full journey to Penzance!
I'd even have at least one service missing out Exeter and just running London Reading Plymouth for a really good headline time figure. Crewed with a Plymouth driver would be no requirement to have to stop at Exeter. Obviously this would probably only be one train a day, but may help attract industry and money to the far south west....
 

Falcon1200

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The problem with running trains express to shorten journey times is a reduction in services at the no-longer-stopped-at intermediate stations; Unless there is sufficient traffic to justify both the limited stop and stopping trains.

I'd even have at least one service missing out Exeter and just running London Reading Plymouth for a really good headline time figure.

And this is a good example - How many passengers would such a train actually carry?
 

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The problem with running trains express to shorten journey times is a reduction in services at the no-longer-stopped-at intermediate stations; Unless there is sufficient traffic to justify both the limited stop and stopping trains.



And this is a good example - How many passengers would such a train actually carry?
Indeed. More to the point, how many passengers would it carry that otherwise wouldn't have travelled by train? And does the additional revenue from them exceed the loss of revenue from passengers for Taunton, Exeter etc. who lose one of their services from Paddington? Or, if you put on a relief for those stations, does it exceed the cost of running that relief?

Whilst it's nice to think about 'what if' scenarios, the reality is probably that there isn't some huge untapped market that would switch to rail if London to Plymouth took 2h59m rather than 3h and a bit.
 

43074

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1 hr 40 is unfavorable vs 2 hr 30??

Yes when you factor in neither Temple Meads or Paddington being particularly Central in either of the cities they serve, factor in the waiting time and the time it takes to access the station from where you actually start or finish your journey then it's not as competitive as it would seem for door to door journey times compared to driving or taking a coach.
 

The Planner

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Yes when you factor in neither Temple Meads or Paddington being particularly Central in either of the cities they serve, factor in the waiting time and the time it takes to access the station from where you actually start or finish your journey then it's not as competitive as it would seem for door to door journey times compared to driving or taking a coach.
Same applies to the coach, you still have to get to/from Victoria and Bristol, waiting time etc. Most of the journeys I have found on National Express are 2 hr 50 from Bristol to Victoria so the gap is even bigger.
 

cle

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Same applies to the coach, you still have to get to/from Victoria and Bristol, waiting time etc. Most of the journeys I have found on National Express are 2 hr 50 from Bristol to Victoria so the gap is even bigger.
Paddington is perfectly central - Central London is huge and one terminus cannot cover - plus people go in every direction. Paddington is great for my London base.
 

Zamalek

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Victoria coach station is horrible for any transfer to/from the tube - and in any case the 'travel experience' on a coach cannot be compared to going by train. I do a lot of work on trains - almost impossible on a coach .....
 

MontyP

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Yes when you factor in neither Temple Meads or Paddington being particularly Central in either of the cities they serve, factor in the waiting time and the time it takes to access the station from where you actually start or finish your journey then it's not as competitive as it would seem for door to door journey times compared to driving or taking a coach.
I'd say driving has got a lot slower over the last 20-30 years. Variable speed limits on motorways, long stretches at 50/60mph during "improvements" plus the increase in traffic levels. I used to regularly do London - Leeds in 3-3.5hrs by car but now it's always 4+ hours except late in the evening. So train journey times need to be put in context. I don't think an extra 5 mins on a London-Plymouth train journey would even register with most people when the alternative by road is probably 5+ hours.
 

irish_rail

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There are also ideas at play that the 10.04 Paddington to Penzance will be a 3 hour journey time to Plymouth from next summer.
Good news, let's hope so

There is in fact a Paddington to Plymouth journey under three hours. 0637 from Paddington
Sadly not much use to most people at that time of day

Whilst it's nice to think about 'what if' scenarios, the reality is probably that there isn't some huge untapped market that would switch to rail if London to Plymouth took 2h59m rather than 3h and a bi
Trouble is its more like 3h 15. So a 15 to 20 minute time saving would most definitely be noticeable. Anecdotally, being on the trains that don't stop at Totnes or Tiverton feel much quicker than trains that do stop there and you are only saving 5 or 6 mins by losing those two.

And this is a good example - How many passengers would such a train actually carry?
I should have pointed out the train would continue to Cornwall. The west country trains are very popular, amongst the busiest in the country these days, and there would be people lining up to get to Plymouth and Cornwall 20 minutes or so quicker. It would if anything likely be a victim of its own success and be horribly overcrowded, and I guess that's one reason GwR don't want to do it.
 

2T57

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When Hereford-Paddington services got sped up significantly, following the IET introduction, it made the GWR route much more competitive with other options. I think some of the journeys are now around the 2h50m mark, the 0643 Hereford-Paddington when I last looked was 3h4m, which is significantly faster than the HST days. I don't remember the journey times on the HST timetable right now, someone with better memory will no doubt have the data to hand, but they are significantly better than they used to be.
Not from memory but I have a 1998 timetable and the 07.05 Great Western service from Hereford to Paddington via Worcester completed the journey in 2hrs 45 (Paddington 09.50 arrival). Most other services on this route took around three hours in 1998.
 

cle

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I should have pointed out the train would continue to Cornwall. The west country trains are very popular, amongst the busiest in the country these days, and there would be people lining up to get to Plymouth and Cornwall 20 minutes or so quicker. It would if anything likely be a victim of its own success and be horribly overcrowded, and I guess that's one reason GwR don't want to do it.
All the more reason to make the Exeter semi-fast hourly. It could always extend to Plymouth or Paignton two hourly also.

Penzance services should be London - Reading - Taunton - Exeter - Plymouth by and large.
 

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Not from memory but I have a 1998 timetable and the 07.05 Great Western service from Hereford to Paddington via Worcester completed the journey in 2hrs 45 (Paddington 09.50 arrival). Most other services on this route took around three hours in 1998.

Really? Wow that's unexpected. Limited stops? My memory of Hereford to London on HSTs was always around 3h30m, sometimes longer, but then this was the mid 2000s I'm thinking back to.
 

HamworthyGoods

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All the more reason to make the Exeter semi-fast hourly. It could always extend to Plymouth or Paignton two hourly also.

Penzance services should be London - Reading - Taunton - Exeter - Plymouth by and large.

Totnes has a massive catchment area these days and high revenue tickets.

It’s not necessarily just looking at passenger numbers but also revenue yield.

I know the Totnes call in the 18.04 fast from Paddington was reviewed when the 17.36 Paignton was diverted to Plymouth and the end result was the call stayed in the 18.04
 

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That really started with the introduction of the HST service by BR, allowing commuting to London from as far out as Swindon.



IIRC that was the full 1976 HST service, hourly expresses to Swansea and Bristol with hourly alternate Bristols or Cardiffs which did indeed call at Slough.

Reading has also become a huge interchange (probably the biggest of the South outside London) and everything should indeed be calling there. Didcot is more marginal, and indeed S. Wales services don't call there. Swindon is rather hit and miss as it has had some considerable growth but how much of a destination it is is debatable. I think I remember seeing that running express through wouldn't save much (about 5-10 minutes) but perhaps it's a pyschological element more than anything.
Superfasts only really make sense on proper long haul journeys (ie London to Scotland or the South west). A few trains a day stopping Padd, Reading Plymouth and then stations in Cornwall would be very very well used. It would be transformational in that it could potentially lead to journey times of under 3 hours of London to Plymouth.
I can't help but feel superfasts to Bristol is a little pointless as its a fairly quick journey on a "stopper" anyway!

There's only a few Penzance services a day as it is in reality. You'd be significantly cutting supply for places like Taunton and even more importantly, Exeter. It might be good during summer, but I sincerely doubt it would be as "transformational" the rest of the year.

As it is, all the discussion is moot anyway given the 80x availability; the Bedwyn service was only just cut to move the fleet to serve more (perceived) beneficial routes. Of course the "superfasts" never really got going so the demand has never been truly assessed but they were "nice to have" rather that core. Probably won't be seen for many years into the future, indeed if at all.
 

miklcct

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Still, it would be quite fun if there were at least one fast non-stop to BPW a day just to show it could be done!

GWR has effectively over the years become an extended outer-suburban railway - bit like the GN services to Cambridge/Peterborough. This fills the trains, of course. but it should be remembered that in the golden period in the 70s when the first HSTs were brought in, the express service was just 1 tph to each of Bristol and Swansea and I think a 2 hourly service on the Berks. and Hants. So there was lots of capacity for fast running....
I don't see how Bristol is an outer suburb of London. It is so far away that it is basically another economic centre on its own right, the biggest city in the South West. The trains are proper intercity trains as they only call at major towns and cities en route far away, with the first stop outside London Reading already.

The outer suburban GWR trains are the trains to Didcot Parkway, which call at multiple suburbs throughout the London commuter area such as Slough and Maidenhead.

Superfasts only really make sense on proper long haul journeys (ie London to Scotland or the South west). A few trains a day stopping Padd, Reading Plymouth and then stations in Cornwall would be very very well used. It would be transformational in that it could potentially lead to journey times of under 3 hours of London to Plymouth.
I can't help but feel superfasts to Bristol is a little pointless as its a fairly quick journey on a "stopper" anyway!
There are no stoppers from Paddington to Bristol. The minor stations west of Didcot Parkway have all been axed, so it has now become a pure intercity line.

Paddington is perfectly central - Central London is huge and one terminus cannot cover - plus people go in every direction. Paddington is great for my London base.
There is no way Paddington can be described as Central London. It is so far away from the City, in fact it is the only London Terminus located at a substantial distance from where the political, business and financial centre is. It is not even in the West End.

There are some posters saying that Cricklewood will lose all bus services to Central London (16 to Victoria and 189 to Marble Arch) - clearly the 332 to Paddington doesn't count.
 

Class 33

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Now(well for the past 2 and a half years really!) that these express services have been axed and highly unlikely to ever return, it means me hunting around again the future timetables for when there are rare diverted services running "fast" along the original Great Western Mainline to/from/via Bristol Temple Meads due to engineering work on the Berks & Hants. These services are very very rare. I remember there being such services on a weekend or two back in 2011, and then the next ones were not until 2018! There were some back in 2019 if I recall, though these were on weekdays only and I wasn't able to travel on those due to working.

Anyway, on Saturday 8th October there is an 1842 London Paddington-Plymouth service calling Reading, then fast/non-stop to Bristol Temple Meads, then onto Taunton and intermediate stations to Plymouth. I have booked up for this "special" service so I'll be able to enjoy this very rare opportunity of a non-stop run between Reading and Bristol Temple Meads. None of the usual stopping at Swindon, Chippenham, and Bath Spa! I paid £33.10 for this ticket. More than I'd usually want to pay for a train journey between London and Bristol, but this is a very special very rare journey!

There are of course other diverted services on the weekend of 8th & 9th October than run fast/non-stop along the original Great Western Mainline Between Reading and Bristol Temple Meads or Taunton. But from what I can see that 1842 London Paddington-Plymouth appears to be the only service that weekend with an advertised stop at Bristol Temple Meads and which tickets can be purchased between London/Reading and Bristol Temple Meads.

Bring on Saturday 8th October!!
 
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Bald Rick

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I'd say driving has got a lot slower over the last 20-30 years. Variable speed limits on motorways, long stretches at 50/60mph during "improvements" plus the increase in traffic levels. I used to regularly do London - Leeds in 3-3.5hrs by car but now it's always 4+ hours except late in the evening. So train journey times need to be put in context. I don't think an extra 5 mins on a London-Plymouth train journey would even register with most people when the alternative by road is probably 5+ hours.

good observation. I’m convinced that longer road journey times are a significant factor in the growth of the rail long distance market over the past 20 years.

(I once did the M25 to the M62 on the M1 in 2h dead, but that was a long time ago!)
 

Grecian 1998

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There's enough grumbling in Bristol about house price rises caused by Londoners moving here that there's plenty of people who will be quite happy if London services aren't sped up!


Regarding Cornwall services, if you ran non-stop Reading - Plymouth you'd lose the following custom:

Taunton: Taunton, Bridgwater, Chard, Honiton, West Somerset, and possibly some other East Devon and West Dorset passengers (though less so when the Waterloo route's normal timetable works)

Tiverton Parkway: North Devon and North Cornwall

Exeter St Davids: the city of Exeter, Exmouth, Sidmouth, Crediton and some North Devon passengers

Newton Abbot: Kingsteignton and northern Torbay

Totnes: southern Torbay and the South Hams

Essentially, the train would be unusable for the vast majority of passengers in Devon and Somerset. North Cornwall folk might go to Bodmin Parkway rather than Tiverton Parkway but then again they might not.

Can you get enough custom in Cornwall to offset that loss?
 

MontyP

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good observation. I’m convinced that longer road journey times are a significant factor in the growth of the rail long distance market over the past 20 years.

(I once did the M25 to the M62 on the M1 in 2h dead, but that was a long time ago!)
Yes it's much slower now. Once did Elland Rd (Leeds football ground) to Brent Cross in 2 hrs down the M1 after an evening match. I reckon now it would be 2:45 minimum
 

HamworthyGoods

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Can you get enough custom in Cornwall to offset that loss?

Cornish traffic is hugely seasonal (although I accept the season has extended) the other markets are much more all year round. So I would really doubt it.

If it really is about providing a faster journey to Cornwall from London I would suggest dropping Plymouth would be a better bet and keep Exeter in which has both a higher usage and revenue yield. It would also stop the train being used as a local service between Plymouth and Cornwall. Plymouth might have a larger population but it has lower rail usage.
 

irish_rail

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Cornish traffic is hugely seasonal (although I accept the season has extended) the other markets are much more all year round. So I would really doubt it.

If it really is about providing a faster journey to Cornwall from London I would suggest dropping Plymouth would be a better bet and keep Exeter in which has both a higher usage and revenue yield. It would also stop the train being used as a local service between Plymouth and Cornwall. Plymouth might have a larger population but it has lower rail usage.
Haha good one.

Now(well for the past 2 and a half years really!) that these express services have been axed and highly unlikely to ever return, it means me hunting around again the future timetables for when there are rare diverted services running "fast" along the original Great Western Mainline to/from/via Bristol Temple Meads due to engineering work on the Berks & Hants. These services are very very rare. I remember there being such services on a weekend or two back in 2011, and then the next ones were not until 2018! There were some back in 2019 if I recall, though these were on weekdays only and I wasn't able to travel on those due to working.

Anyway, on Saturday 8th October there is an 1842 London Paddington-Plymouth service calling Reading, then fast/non-stop to Bristol Temple Meads, then onto Taunton and intermediate stations to Plymouth. I have booked up for this "special" service so I'll be able to enjoy this very rare opportunity of a non-stop run between Reading and Bristol Temple Meads. None of the usual stopping at Swindon, Chippenham, and Bath Spa! I paid £33.10 for this ticket. More than I'd usually want to pay for a train journey between London and Bristol, but this is a very special very rare journey!

There are of course other diverted services on the weekend of 8th & 9th October than run fast/non-stop along the original Great Western Mainline Between Reading and Bristol Temple Meads or Taunton. But from what I can see that 1842 London Paddington-Plymouth appears to be the only service that weekend with an advertised stop at Bristol Temple Meads and which tickets can be purchased between London/Reading and Bristol Temple Meads.

Bring on Saturday 8th October!!
Hate to rain on your parade, but from experience, the Plymouth train will likely depart a couple of minutes behind a Bristol stopperand as happens everytime we get diverted, there will be no high speed running due to the Bristol getting in the way everywhere! I hope for your sake the planners have timetabled it well away from the Bristol, but as I said, we generally depart 2 minutes behind Bristol stuff (including on a saturday).
 

HamworthyGoods

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Have there ever been regular passenger services which ran non-stop through Plymouth? Not to my knowledge. I cannot see any possible justification for missing such a large and important city.

Likewise I can’t see any justification for missing Exeter. Whilst it might be a smaller city it has higher rail usage. My point was if you had to miss one of the two you’d choose to miss Plymouth. However realistically you’d never miss either Exeter or Plymouth.
 

irish_rail

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Likewise I can’t see any justification for missing Exeter. Whilst it might be a smaller city it has higher rail usage. My point was if you had to miss one of the two you’d choose to miss Plymouth. However realistically you’d never miss either Exeter or Plymouth.
It is true that Exeter is very well used and has lots of interchanges, but in terms of importance, politically and socially you'd miss it out over Plymouth if one of the two had to go.

Too reiterate though I am only suggesting a service or two a day to miss Ex out not every single "fast" service!

Now(well for the past 2 and a half years really!) that these express services have been axed and highly unlikely to ever return, it means me hunting around again the future timetables for when there are rare diverted services running "fast" along the original Great Western Mainline to/from/via Bristol Temple Meads due to engineering work on the Berks & Hants. These services are very very rare. I remember there being such services on a weekend or two back in 2011, and then the next ones were not until 2018! There were some back in 2019 if I recall, though these were on weekdays only and I wasn't able to travel on those due to working.

Anyway, on Saturday 8th October there is an 1842 London Paddington-Plymouth service calling Reading, then fast/non-stop to Bristol Temple Meads, then onto Taunton and intermediate stations to Plymouth. I have booked up for this "special" service so I'll be able to enjoy this very rare opportunity of a non-stop run between Reading and Bristol Temple Meads. None of the usual stopping at Swindon, Chippenham, and Bath Spa! I paid £33.10 for this ticket. More than I'd usually want to pay for a train journey between London and Bristol, but this is a very special very rare journey!

There are of course other diverted services on the weekend of 8th & 9th October than run fast/non-stop along the original Great Western Mainline Between Reading and Bristol Temple Meads or Taunton. But from what I can see that 1842 London Paddington-Plymouth appears to be the only service that weekend with an advertised stop at Bristol Temple Meads and which tickets can be purchased between London/Reading and Bristol Temple Meads.

Bring on Saturday 8th October!!
Just looked on realtime trains and the 1842 follows the 1832. So the Bristol has a ten minute headstart, so you may avoid it until Swindon , my guess is that's where you'll catch it, but in my relatively limited experience of driving on the GWML (as opposed to the B and H) usually tend to find i get checked by Didcot due to slow station work and the train infront also catching up the one infront of it.
 
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HamworthyGoods

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It is true that Exeter is very well used and has lots of interchanges, but in terms of importance, politically and socially you'd miss it out over Plymouth if one of the two had to go.

Too reiterate though I am only suggesting a service or two a day to miss Ex out not every single "fast" service!

Im afraid the railway doesn’t work on importance, political or social aspects - it works on financial aspects. This is why if you had to miss a station you would miss Plymouth. The size of a place is irrelevant, it’s demand that’s important in the current structure.

However I think we are both likely to agree the answer is you miss neither regardless of how few services it is.
 
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