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Paul Bigland's blog page.

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Snapper

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New blog. My take on Monday's Public Accounts Ctte hearing on HS2 at Euston and why what wasn't talked about was more interesting and important than what was.

On Monday the Public Accounts Committee of MPs took oral evidence on the pause of HS2 construction at Euston station. Anyone expecting any real answers as to how we got to this sorry state will have been sadly disappointed at the session as it was more the ‘dunno’ show than generating any real insights. It was also curious for what was not said or discussed as much as what was.
 

Snapper

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It's out - Crazy anti-#HS2 campaigner of the week. No 36;

"Yes – it’s back! It’s been increasingly difficult to find candidates for this feature as there’s so few people left pretending they can stop HS2 and the ones that are would all (in one way or another) qualify for this title. But one does stand head and shoulders above the others at the moment"....


https://paulbigland.blog/2023/06/27/crazy-anti-hs2-campaigner-of-the-week-no-36/… featuring the Uxbridge by-election and Sarah Green.
 

Snapper

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Today's blog - and pictures from a trip to and from the Windermere branch, along with fun and games on the WCML thanks to an 'operational incident' at Lostock .

 

Snapper

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A new rolling blog describing a trip to Grimsby for an outing along the Barton on Humber branch and some of its attractions.

 

Snapper

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There's a lot of froth in the media today that HS2 is 'unachievable' as its received a RED rating from the Infrastructure and Projects Authority. Here's a blog explaining why that's just lazy journalism that fails to give any actual analysis. Crossrail was rated 'unachievable' too - as were all the new Hitachi trains - and two Royal Navy aircraft carriers... https://paulbigland.blog/.../more-lousy-journalism-from.../ Lord Reith must be spinning in his grave...
 

Snapper

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I've added a large selection of pictures of HS2 construction work from Curzon St, the Colne Valley viaduct and Calvert taken last week. You can find them here.


There's also a selection of E-W rail pictures, here

 

Snapper

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Here's a new blog analysing the latest load of tosh about #Hs2, this time it's from Larry Elliott in the Guardian and he's no less than their Economics Editor!

 

Snapper

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There's a new blog comparing old pictures of the East-West rail line around Calvert/Steeple Claydon between 2011, 2021 and 2023. Plus a link to a lot of other old 2011 pictures I've added to my website recently.

 

Snapper

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Today's blog is short and 'sweet'. https://paulbigland.blog/2023/10/04/rishi-sunak-railways-and-hs2-what-a-lying-****-show/
 

The Ham

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Something from the Network North document, it states that:

benefits fall disproportionately on London and the South East

Well, if you look at the graphic, the benefits to the Southeast is 4% compared with 16% for the west midlands and 29% for the North West.

Yes London is much larger (at 41%), however it also has a larger population, when you adjust for population compared to the North West's 29 it comes out at 33, closing the gap considerably (they aren't percentages any more as we're not comparing to 100).

18th August to 3rd September had 30 day rolling average of between 79% and 82% (to get to less than 78% you have to search back to June, but in doing so you also pass write a few days at 84% or 85% for the average rolling 30 day value) the time period compared in the report is Jan to March were the 30 day rolling average rarely reached 80% (it never exceeds it, there are 11 days from a three month window when it is 79% or 80%) and is often as low as 75%. As such it's looking at a set of numbers which are noticeable below the current data to justify the fact that we are below peak rail from 2019.

As I've said before HS2 predictions were far exceeded by 2019. For example by 2024 (15 years from announcement) the predictions were for 135 passengers for every 100 in 2009. In 2019 it was 170.

80% of 170 is 136. Therefore for most of the last few months we've been marginally ahead of the predicted numbers for next year!

As such whist rail passenger use is down, we're still not that far off (and probably slightly ahead rather than behind) the predictions. That not bad going given we're currently running fewer trains and there's ongoing strikes.

Yet none of the above fits the narrative which is required to cut HS2.
 

Snapper

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More thoughts on the disgraceful way Rishi Sunak has scrapped #HS2 to the North, destroyed 15 years of political consensus and usurped power over policy.

 

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