You work in the railways, but are so deeply skeptical or openly hostile to a reopening?
Why are you so utterly convinced that this won’t happen? Is that even a fair position to take before we have a feasibility study completed?
I am not hostile to reopenings. As I have written several times on my decade on these pages, including replying to you in another thread, I am all for building new railways, whether all new or on the site of old lines. I am also a taxpayer, who wants to see my tax spent wisely.
Feasibility studies still cost money. To get any idea of whether a project is likely to have a case, you need to have a decent evidence base on likely demand, a rough idea of cost (capital and operational), and an examination of alternatives that could deliver a similar benefit per pound invested. This is better described as ‘pre-feasibility’, and for a proposal like this, you’ll be looking at a few hundred thousand pounds. Full feasibility will be several million. Before committing that sort of expenditure, you want to have a reasonable idea of why you are doing it, and what the potential benefits might be. The proposers of the Aberystwyth- Carmarthen reopening have spent the best part of half a million quid to find, to the surprise of almost no-one in the rail industry, that there is nowhere near a case for building that line; half a million pounds that could have been better spent on so many things in that part of the world. So I think it is fair to be asking those questions.
But what has come back from you is... nothing. I have answered every question you have asked me, including those above, including on how I have arrived at figures for costs, relative costs for the Borders line, detail about safeguarding of the route (“protection”) and so on.
I have asked you questions on what the benefits are (post #12), what problem the proposal is designed to solve (#14) and what possible solutions for that problem are (#14), your estimate of costs (#16) and why you think they might be different to the actual costs of new railways being built now (#19), your estimate for the cost of getting the line through the difficult section around Deemount / Duthie Park (#110). And you haven’t answered. What you have done is made unsubstantiated claims, such as:
And when asked to justify them, not answered.
You have also exaggerated, or misrepresented what I have written, for example with :
I think my favourite bit of this whole thread is BR aiming to communicate to the entire electorate that this not a serious proposal and won't happen.
yet my post #94 was clearly addressed to the people living in the areas depicted in the aerial imagery, and not ‘the entire electorate’. Having personally had to deal with residents who might have a railway built close to their property, including some who would lose their home, I feel it is important to stress where proposals are serious (ie official policy) or not. Perhaps if you had had to sit in the living room of a lovely retired couple, and explain to them why their ‘forver’ home was to be demolished, whilst they were crying, you’d understand that.
Or:
On that specific point, it’s taken as given that you purchase the land tomorrow
I didn’t say that anywhere. And whilst I assumed compulsory purchase would be required, it would be rash to assume otherwise given that almost every new railway project ever built required it. And even if it didn’t, it wouldn’t noticeably affect the costs of property acquisition - if anything without CP the costs would go up.
And:
But that’s ok, some of the posters and some of the readers, particularly ones who actually possess local knowledge and are aware of the issues here are convinced. The proposals have also been very positively
Where are the people who are convinced? And where have they been “positively” ? (received, presumably). With one exception (@AlistairFraser - who is more concerned with Peterhead), they are not on this thread, and this forum is, as you might expect, very pro-rail. If you can’t get at least some people on a pro-rail forum in favour of a proposal, then in the real world it gets real difficult.
So please forgive me if I’m being seen to be deeply sceptical. Perhaps if some questions were answered, with even very basic evidence, I would change my mind. So are you going to provide any answers? Or not? Because if not, then I’m afraid I will have to assume that either you don’t know, or that you do know and realise that there won’t be a case and are thus just making noise in the hope that a politician doesn’t notice that there isn’t a case. Either way, I will leave it to the forum readership to judge the credibility of the proposal accordingly.
Alternatively you might have the answers. As Churchill said “when the facts change, I change my mind”. I’m happy to do so. Are you?
I do wonder where he gets the patience from though.
I find it’s better to be helpful and polite, even if people do their very best not to understand, listen, or be willing to be open to alternative viewpoints, than to get grumpy or cross. Better for one’s own mental health too.
Or maybe I’m just a Saint
Is there anywhere in the world where fresh fish is moved by rail?
The Flying Kipper, surely.