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Revised relaunch of 'Project Rio' - could it work?

Neptune

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No where specifically, I just thought the thought was that GC wanted some of the Voyagers cascaded from Avanti and thus were looking to replace the 180s?
They’ve got 2x221’s and 2x ex EMR 180’s on short term lease at the moment. The 10 x 180’s in their fleet are not planned to be leaving GC anytime soon.
Quite a few passengers are attracted by direct trains and in combination with some very cheap fares I think it would be a well-used service now.
The words in bold. This is thankfully not how business cases are put together.
 
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Clansman

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Reinstating Project Rio today would effectively just be a glorified Leicester to Manchester services with the London carrot thrown in to make the proposals sound viable without testing the actual demand for the rest (which I have no doubt would be well served by the way, but not worth the commercial risk in today's climate).

I'm not sure how one could argue that cheaper fares could be offered by using 180s - some of the most corroded and mechanically knackered 'modern' MUs on the network, with the increase in fuel costs added into the equations to kill it off.
 

Philip

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In terms of how well used it would be, comparisons with 20 years ago are sketchy because back then no where near as many people used the trains compared with today; an off peak Manchester to London via WCML service back then would often be less than half full and that was with only 2 trains per hour rather than 3 - demand is much greater now.

In terms of affordability of cheap fares, there was a thread on here a few months back asking whether rail travel should be free altogether. Whilst I'm not advocating going this far, it does show that there is an argument for the railway to be focused more on being a public service (with increased government funding to cover the costs), rather than primarily being business oriented.
 

Russel

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There are already cheap London - Manchester fares using LNW to Crewe and TFW onto Manchester. There really isn't the need for another route ehich is less direct and would remove capacity which is needed for other services.

You missed my point, I was pointing out that if Avanti wasn't charging extortionate fares, then this discussion would never have started!
 

yorksrob

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Which of the existing EMR servcies into St Pancras are you cancelling to make space for this?

We are told on other threads they are all very busy, and it sounds like you want to replace it eith a service full of cheap tickets. Therefore:

1) Reducing a good source of income on EMRs highest earning service group, for one that is lower
2) Reducing the connectivity on a key cross country route - thereby reducing income on EMRs second highest earning service group
3) Intending to take passengers from Avanti through cheaper fares, thereby reducing income on the highest revenue flow in the country.
4) all at considerable extra cost through inefficient use of rolling stock and crew.


Why would the taxpayer want to pay for this?

To be fair, there are a lot of short trains on EMR at the moment. That's not to say they couldn't run proper length services at some stage.
 

JonathanH

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You missed my point, I was pointing out that if Avanti wasn't charging extortionate fares, then this discussion would never have started!
However, EMR are charging broadly consistent fares between Sheffield and London to those charged by Avanti for Manchester to London, so why would EMR offer a cheaper way to get from Manchester to London?

The premise of the original poster is therefore false.
 

Bevan Price

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I don't think that another Manchester / London service is really needed. However, if a third "fast" path on the Hope Valley becomes available, I would suggest that a Manchester - Sheffield - Derby or Leicester service might be useful; south of Sheffield this could call at Duffield, Chesterfield, Belper, Derby, Long Eaton & Loughborough.

Alternatively, extend the current Northern Manchester / Sheffield stopper to Derby or Leicester. Would not exactly be fast, but would offer new through journey options instead of having to change at Sheffield.
 

A0wen

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You missed my point, I was pointing out that if Avanti wasn't charging extortionate fares, then this discussion would never have started!

Not at all. There is Avanti runnung a fast but expensive service between London and Manchester and LNW / TFW offering a slower, cheaper London - Manchester service.

And EMR service would be *even* slower and a poor use of capacity on the MML.
 

A0wen

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I don't think that another Manchester / London service is really needed. However, if a third "fast" path on the Hope Valley becomes available, I would suggest that a Manchester - Sheffield - Derby or Leicester service might be useful; south of Sheffield this could call at Duffield, Chesterfield, Belper, Derby, Long Eaton & Loughborough.

Alternatively, extend the current Northern Manchester / Sheffield stopper to Derby or Leicester. Would not exactly be fast, but would offer new through journey options instead of having to change at Sheffield.

Given one of the Avanti Manchester trains per hour stops at Nuneaton from which there is an interchange to Leicester with a 90 minute end to end journey time, compared to Manchester - Sheffield of ~55mins and Sheffield - Leicester ~ 1hour - there really isn't any point to such a service.
 

Eskimo

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Manchester to the East Midlands (Derby, Nottingham and Leicester) would probably hold some weight. Perhaps with an upgraded Hope Valley line and some franchise reshuffling..

The only way it would work from London, is either a reversal at Sheffield and that that service is a Manchester service outright, or if a Sheffield-bound service running as 2x5 car 222’s or 810’s were to split at Derby (for example) and one unit takes the south curve at Dore onto the Hope Valley to Manchester.

What about a Derby to Manchester via Stoke and Macclesfield? [edit: realising now that this exists already!]
 
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Bald Rick

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Not at all. There is Avanti runnung a fast but expensive service between London and Manchester and LNW / TFW offering a slower, cheaper London - Manchester service.

Avanti runs a fast and cheap service between London and Manchester for those who are willing to be flexible and book ahead. £40 return is very, very reasonable!
 

dk1

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Avanti runs a fast and cheap service between London and Manchester for those who are willing to be flexible and book ahead. £40 return is very, very reasonable!
Totally agree. Cant go wrong with that.
 

Eskimo

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Slightly off-topic, but it would be more intuitive to extend existing services into Sheffield and Nottingham, to link the EMR Intercity’s up with Wakefield & Leeds, Rotherham & Doncaster and, more regularly, Lincoln - Provide greater connections with other franchises routes and destinations (again).
 

Bald Rick

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Totally agree. Cant go wrong with that.

Indeed. I have a rule - if a long distance train fare is cheaper than the price of premium lager bought in a London pub, when comparing journey time vs drinking time at 2 pints an hour, it‘s great value.

Manchester - 2hrs 15, say 4 pints @ £7/pint, £28, vs ticket at £20 = great value.
 

43096

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Indeed. I have a rule - if a long distance train fare is cheaper than the price of premium lager bought in a London pub, when comparing journey time vs drinking time at 2 pints an hour, it‘s great value.

Manchester - 2hrs 15, say 4 pints @ £7/pint, £28, vs ticket at £20 = great value.
That sounds like something you have done plenty of research on!
 

Russel

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Not at all. There is Avanti runnung a fast but expensive service between London and Manchester and LNW / TFW offering a slower, cheaper London - Manchester service.

And EMR service would be *even* slower and a poor use of capacity on the MML.

So, you're happy with Avanti's walk up prices then, £100+ off peak return? Fair enough if you do, but I'm sure you're in the minority.

I'm not sure why you keep repeating your point regarding the proposed EMR service, I agree!
 

Bletchleyite

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So, you're happy with Avanti's walk up prices then, £100+ off peak return? Fair enough if you do, but I'm sure you're in the minority.

I'm not sure why you keep repeating your point regarding the proposed EMR service, I agree!

If unhappy with Avanti's fares, LNR offers a very cheap alternative, it's unlikely Rio would undercut that as it would create massive anomalies.
 

Neptune

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So, you're happy with Avanti's walk up prices then, £100+ off peak return? Fair enough if you do, but I'm sure you're in the minority.

I'm not sure why you keep repeating your point regarding the proposed EMR service, I agree!
And who’s to say EMR wouldn’t charge the same?
 

JonathanH

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So, you're happy with Avanti's walk up prices then, £100+ off peak return? Fair enough if you do, but I'm sure you're in the minority.
Avanti and EMR will be likely to copy the changes being made on LNER within the next two years. Some people pay £100+ for off peak returns because that is the cost of their weekend away, or what they need to pay to travel to an event. Other people pay less by using advance fares and the railway realises it can squeeze people a bit more for certain services currently considered off peak.

Not great but people rarely need to do it every week.
 

A0wen

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Avanti runs a fast and cheap service between London and Manchester for those who are willing to be flexible and book ahead. £40 return is very, very reasonable!

Fair point - I was thinking walk up.
So, you're happy with Avanti's walk up prices then, £100+ off peak return? Fair enough if you do, but I'm sure you're in the minority.

I'm not sure why you keep repeating your point regarding the proposed EMR service, I agree!

It's the going rate for a flexible, walk up fare. The vast majority of people don't just travel London to Manchester on the spur of the moment and with a little planning won't pay that much. People are happy to shop arpund for pretty much everything else in life, why not train fares?
 

Starmill

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Avanti runs a fast and cheap service between London and Manchester for those who are willing to be flexible and book ahead. £40 return is very, very reasonable!
I've taken you to task on the number of sales this is getting before, so I won't do so again. But suffice to say it's misleading to post about Superfare without acknowledging that it's specially designed to pick up new business at the bottom of the market on price, without letting any of the current market trade down to it. In addition to the 7 day booking minimum, I noticed you didn't mention the 21 day maximum, nor that you only receive 24 hours of notice when your service is. Amendments are also not permitted, unlike with nearly all other types of booked service only ticket.
 

Bald Rick

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I've taken you to task on the number of sales this is getting before, so I won't do so again. But suffice to say it's misleading to post about Superfare without acknowledging that it's specially designed to pick up new business at the bottom of the market on price, without letting any of the current market trade down to it. In addition to the 7 day booking minimum, I noticed you didn't mention the 21 day maximum, nor that you only receive 24 hours of notice when your service is. Amendments are also not permitted, unlike with nearly all other types of booked service only ticket.

still very, very cheap though. In the context of this thread, if people want a cheap way of getting to Manchester, its already available, and rather quicker than a tour of the East Midlands and Peak District.
 

Starmill

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still very, very cheap though. In the context of this thread, if people want a cheap way of getting to Manchester, its already available, and rather quicker than a tour of the East Midlands and Peak District.
I agree on the principle that the competing service would have too high operating costs to make fares undercutting Superfare on price alone worthwhile, if that's what you mean.
 

Bald Rick

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I agree on the principle that the competing service would have too high operating costs to make fares undercutting Superfare on price alone worthwhile, if that's what you mean.

Yes, thats what I mean.
 

Bletchleyite

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Avanti and EMR will be likely to copy the changes being made on LNER within the next two years. Some people pay £100+ for off peak returns because that is the cost of their weekend away, or what they need to pay to travel to an event. Other people pay less by using advance fares and the railway realises it can squeeze people a bit more for certain services currently considered off peak.

Not great but people rarely need to do it every week.

I see it as very unlikely it will happen within two years, though it might roll out to all of LNER. Single fare pricing has yet to make it to any other TOC bar the Oval area.

It almost certainly will eventually, though.
 

yorksrob

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Indeed. I have a rule - if a long distance train fare is cheaper than the price of premium lager bought in a London pub, when comparing journey time vs drinking time at 2 pints an hour, it‘s great value.

Manchester - 2hrs 15, say 4 pints @ £7/pint, £28, vs ticket at £20 = great value.

You drink in the wrong pubs (or the wrong beer).
 

Starmill

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You drink in the wrong pubs (or the wrong beer).
Bald Rick has an avowed distaste for Wetherspoon and a stated desire of drinking in London, presumably somewhere reasonably central. If you can find a decent pint at meaningfully less, that meets those criteria, let's hear it :lol:
 

yorksrob

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Bald Rick has an avowed distaste for Wetherspoon and a stated desire of drinking in London, presumably somewhere reasonably central. If you can find a decent pint at meaningfully less, that meets those criteria, let's hear it :lol:

The Charles 1st and the Euston Tap both offer beautiful ales at much less than £7. (But if yukky lager is @Bald Rick 's thing, maybe not!) :lol:
 

Bald Rick

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The Charles 1st and the Euston Tap both offer beautiful ales at much less than £7. (But if yukky lager is @Bald Rick 's thing, maybe not!) :lol:

I thought I knew all the pubs in the Euston / St P area, but the Charles I is new on me! Nevertheless, sometimes I drink lager (though it needs to be a good one), sometimes I’ll drink ale. But for the purpose of this comparison, I’m using a decent premium lager in London.
 

yorksrob

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I thought I knew all the pubs in the Euston / St P area, but the Charles I is new on me! Nevertheless, sometimes I drink lager (though it needs to be a good one), sometimes I’ll drink ale. But for the purpose of this comparison, I’m using a decent premium lager in London.

Each to their own !

(I would recommend the Charles 1st anyway though I'm not sure what lager they do).
 

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