Why would you have a 40 minute connection when one of the services runs every half-hour?
Is there really so much demand for through services between Reading/Guildford/Dorking/Reigate and Tonbridge that it would merit a through service, either by increasing the number of trains running over the line or by removing some through services from Gatwick?
There was a fast and a slow service which left Reading 30 minutes apart, and the slow service would just would just miss the connection to Tonbridge, and the fast train would not be far behind it. The fastest service between Reading and Redhill is now slower than it used to be, because one train an hour is faster west of Guildford, and the other east.
I am criticing the study for not considering the best options, rather than directly suggesting that such a service should exist. Their first option had 3tph Reading to Redhill with 2tph through to Gatwick. The problem with the other 3 options to extend services to Oxford/Portmouth/Brighton was that the costs of running the service as an additional service rather than merging it with an existing service, but those routes do not have terminating services to merge with. Services already terminate at Redhill/Reigate from London and Tonbridge. The London trains are longer than suitable for the North Downs, so merging the services would cost money. But the Redhill to Tonbridge route struggles to get enough demand. So modifying their first proposal of 3tph with 1tph terminating at Redhill (which was found to be the only one with a possible case for implementing) with the Redhill-Tonbridge service would create better connectivity along the east west axis with the only potential additional costs being complciation of crewing and stabling the longer service (which Labour's Nationalisation plan could make better by allowing a combination of Reading and Tonbridge staff to operate the route), This option would also produce a saving since the number of trains on the Redhill-Tonbirdge could probably be reduced from 2 to 1 through inter working since the service takes 32 minutes end to end, which does not work well for stock utilation as an hourly shuttle. So the study's conclusion that extensions do not offer value for money, and that 3tph doesn't neccesarily offer value for money seems to have been created using a non-optimal set of the potential options. Running through to Tonbridge would partially pay for one of the extra trains required for the 3tph service, and then there is the potential additional revenue produced by improving connectivity.