He's not talking nonsense for once, though I question his motivation in saying that at this time, as it could of course be used as an excuse for reintroducing restrictions of some sort of other. It does mean that he's openly admitted that 'vaccine passports' would be totaly useless though!
I don't really know at this point what is going on either, but here's an interesting graph from the latest PHE Vaccine Surveillance report (
here)
View attachment 104449
Now we can argue about denominators and whether the data for proportions of vaccinated or unvaccinated are correct or not, or whether there are other reasons skewing this data (unvaccinated less likely to test, for example) but the interesting thing about this data is that if you look at the last 6 reports or so you quickly see that for all age groups over 30 there is a clear trend:
- The rates for unvaccinated are stable or have decreased
- But the rates for fully vaccinated have increased, in some age groups quite considerably.
So even if you think there is something wrong with or skewing the above graph, the *trend* is clear. And confusing.
I should note that subsequent graphs do also show that vaccination *is* still *significantly* reducing the risk of serious illness or death. But there is something really rather odd going on with cases.