As a passenger on the Cambrian, I honestly don't care whether we get 197s at all, as long as it's not what the consistent hourly service depends on. Give us that & I'll be perfectly happy to keep the 158s here
My understanding is that they are currently planning to introduce the hourly service after the 197’s have entered service.
Theoretically if they decided never to give us 197’s then there’s enough 158’s to do it as there’s 24 of them and 21 ERTMS 197’s.
But I don’t see it likely that we keep 158’s long term.
Now don’t get me wrong here, I love the Cambrian, but it looses a lot of money each year and TFW/Network rail have been trying to come up with ways to reduce the loss.
A crazy amount of money has been spent on the line in the past few years and a good portion of that is in preparation for the 197’s.
Machynlleth maintenance depot had an extension to be able to fit them, upgrade of the ERTMS baseline system to be compatible with them, they’re talking about rebuilding a few of the short platforms on the coast to accommodate them, so it’s hard to see that they’d do all that and not have them on the Cambrian.
I wonder what the rush is to get 197s on the Cambrian? It's not like the 158s are needed elsewhere.
Another thought I have had last night, is TFW are currently trying to reduce their operating costs without reducing any provided service / get more people on the trains to make more money.
I wonder if the leasing costs and running costs for the 197’s are significantly lower than the 158’s so the sooner they’re swapped over the sooner they start saving on some costs ?