hoagy_ytfc
Member
It's based on science.The whole thing is far too politicised which prevents a sensible debate.
The politics comes from those who have a vested interest in denying it.
It's based on science.The whole thing is far too politicised which prevents a sensible debate.
So you truly believe that the release over about 500 years of the deposits of, basically carbon, that took hundreds of millions of years to lay down, would not cause any kind of atmospheric imbalance? While it's obviously impossible to prove any 'what if xxx hadn't happened' scenario, it is just utterly fundamental common sense that such a split-second (in geological time) vast release MUST cause a major imbalance. The sun's output and other factors also change, of course, but to claim that humans haven't had any impact on the atmosphere, and therefore climate, is just ludicrous (quite apart from the pollution aspect). The real question is not; 'have we done it', but 'how do we correct it?'.No becasue the whole thing is a load of piffle anyway
That's where you start - obviously measured at the drawbar. And as stated before, diesels are at least twice as efficient as the best steam locos at turning heat into drawbar kWh (hp.h if you want). In fact diesels are still getting better, with modern engines achieving efficiencies in the 40 - 45% range, which makes them nearly four times as efficient as the best Chapelon steam design (about 12%). Then you take the fuel into account - and coal emits very roughly 25% more CO2 than diesel in terms of CO2 emitted per kWh of heat generated. That gives you the CO2 generated per drawbar kWh as the locomotive is doing useful work - and diesel looks at least three to four times better than steam on that basis.The only answer to this question to look at it from the viewpoint of hp/kw produced vs. volume of fuel burned/emissions produced for that hp/kw, i.e. a unit-by-unit analysis.
Good reply and as for the last point, yes! This photo of mine from 2010 makes me simultaneously wince and gasp!That's where you start - obviously measured at the drawbar. And as stated before, diesels are at least twice as efficient as the best steam locos at turning heat into drawbar kWh (hp.h if you want). In fact diesels are still getting better, with modern engines achieving efficiencies in the 40 - 45% range, which makes them nearly four times as efficient as the best Chapelon steam design (about 12%). Then you take the fuel into account - and coal emits very roughly 25% more CO2 than diesel in terms of CO2 emitted per kWh of heat generated. That gives you the CO2 generated per drawbar kWh as the locomotive is doing useful work - and diesel looks at least three to four times better than steam on that basis.
But then you have to factor in the heat wasted in idling (in steam terms, sitting in sidings or at a station with the fire damped down but still burning). i have never seen any comparative figures for that, but overall I think you could estimate that steam locos emit somewhere between 3x and 5x as much CO2 per unit of useful work as a diesel.
But of course in terms of the spectacle, steam wins hands down!
I suspect the embodied carbon in the construction is fairly small compared to the entire lifecycle, and recycling rates for steel and copper are pretty good. Also electric traction can practicably be powered from any known source including renewables, so can more easily be adapted when new and better sources become available. Diesels are limited to, er, diesel fuel or biofuel equivalents, and steam is limited to coal or can use oil-derived fuels rather less efficiently than a diesel.
Shipping is responsible for a significant amount of Nox emissions in the exhaust from the diesel Ship Engines while out at Sea and in Port.Coal has a higher carbon content than gas oil which diesel engines use which will create more CO2. (Coal fire stations create around twice the level of CO2 than gas fired ones per kWh although the difference with an oil fired one will be less.) As previous posts have stated the thermal efficiency of diesel locos is MUCH higher than steam ones. I doubt that aerosol effects will be significant at sea level. Whilst diesels will produce NOx and other pollutants this will be far less than steam locos as anyone who has hung washing out by a busy stean line will know.
I agree that making comparisons is difficult. The shipping produces more CO2 than the aviation industry. The fomer also produces a lot of SO2 - although IMO regulations have reduced the amount of sulfur permitted in bunker, whilst contails created by the latter also contribute to warming. I'm certainly not the expert though.
I'm always a little skeptical of opposition on the basis of 'embedded carbon'. Many of the industrial processes used to produce this stuff has the potential to be decarbonise too. Most of the emissions are going to be from industrial heat, transport, which are both things that can be dealt with.Embedded carbon from a 25kV installation is absolutely tiny - I remember doing the calculation a while back although I can't remember the numbers, but the breakeven for carbon emissions is something like the traffic density on the Far North Line!
This is true, but that has not happened yet - so we must be careful in assuming that it will happen.I'm always a little skeptical of opposition on the basis of 'embedded carbon'. Many of the industrial processes used to produce this stuff has the potential to be decarbonise too. Most of the emissions are going to be from industrial heat, transport, which are both things that can be dealt with.
Difference between shipping and aviation is that aviation pollution is emitted at the skies most fragile part unlike cars, ships and trains where the emissions are far more dispersed by the time they reach that part of our skies.I agree that making comparisons is difficult. The shipping produces more CO2 than the aviation industry. The fomer also produces a lot of SO2 - although IMO regulations have reduced the amount of sulfur permitted in bunker, whilst contails created by the latter also contribute to warming. I'm certainly not the expert though.
I would suspect the embedded carbon of OHLE being tiny, good to see someone did the maths to confirm!Embedded carbon from a 25kV installation is absolutely tiny - I remember doing the calculation a while back although I can't remember the numbers, but the breakeven for carbon emissions is something like the traffic density on the Far North Line!
Difference between shipping and aviation is that aviation pollution is emitted at the skies most fragile part unlike cars, ships and trains where the emissions are far more dispersed by the time they reach that part of our skies.
The aviation industry boomed from the 70s onwards and are the clear cause of global warming
Gas boilers and hobs are also significant producers of NOx in the built environment. This is something the gas boiler industry doesn't talk about, especially in the context of their preferred future of hydrogen boilers.Shipping is responsible for a significant amount of Nox emissions in the exhaust from the diesel Ship Engines while out at Sea and in Port.
Nox is a greenhouse gas just like CO2, however the Scientists believe Nox, to have a potency of 250 times by weight, of CO2 emissions in the exhaust.
Evasion and breaches of Nox emissions by criminal and fraudulent actions by car makers is the issue which has cost the car makers a great deal of money and credibility.
Pedantry I know, and I also know that aviation emissions at altitude are more impactful, but in 2016, aviation was only 1.9% of global GHG emissions according to Our World in Data [Link: https://ourworldindata.org/emissions-by-sector]The aviation industry boomed from the 70s onwards and is one of many significant causes of global warming
What does AQ stand for ?We are finally starting to see some movement on AQ and carbon impacts from shipping.
Thanks. I was expecting something more technical.Air Quality
As a pointer to the quantity of coal burnt during the time that steam locomotives were not hauling trains the Federation of British Industries published a report in 1952 (sorry, pre-internet, no link!!) showing that the overall efficiency of steam traction was about 4% overall. The railways burnt roundly 14 million tons of coal in total for each of the preceding years and putting that in context the Ministry of Power's figures show that total coal output in 1951 was 226 million tons. In other words the railways burnt some 6% of all the coal mined.That's where you start - obviously measured at the drawbar. And as stated before, diesels are at least twice as efficient as the best steam locos at turning heat into drawbar kWh (hp.h if you want). In fact diesels are still getting better, with modern engines achieving efficiencies in the 40 - 45% range, which makes them nearly four times as efficient as the best Chapelon steam design (about 12%). Then you take the fuel into account - and coal emits very roughly 25% more CO2 than diesel in terms of CO2 emitted per kWh of heat generated. That gives you the CO2 generated per drawbar kWh as the locomotive is doing useful work - and diesel looks at least three to four times better than steam on that basis.
But then you have to factor in the heat wasted in idling (in steam terms, sitting in sidings or at a station with the fire damped down but still burning). i have never seen any comparative figures for that, but overall I think you could estimate that steam locos emit somewhere between 3x and 5x as much CO2 per unit of useful work as a diesel.
But of course in terms of the spectacle, steam wins hands down!
For clarification, Nox is not itself a gas; it is, in atmospheric chemistry, a shorthand for several oxides of nitrogen and should properly be written NO with the 'x' as a subscript. Generally the oxides referred to are nitric oxide (NO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO/subscript2/) being those nitrogen oxides that are most relevant for air pollution. Nitrous oxide (N/subscript2/O) (laughing gas) although making up about 7% of all U.S. greenhouse gas emissions from human activities (US Environmental Protection Agency's figures) contributes less to pollution and is not included in the atmospheric chemists 'NOx' shorthand. Nitrous oxide is also naturally present in the atmosphere as part of the Earth's nitrogen cycle and has a variety of natural sources.Shipping is responsible for a significant amount of Nox emissions in the exhaust from the diesel Ship Engines while out at Sea and in Port.
Nox is a greenhouse gas just like CO2, however the Scientists believe Nox, to have a potency of 250 times by weight, of CO2 emissions in the exhaust.
Evasion and breaches of Nox emissions by criminal and fraudulent actions by car makers is the issue which has cost the car makers a great deal of money and credibility.
Conversions of warming impacts from non CO2 gasses into "CO2 equivalents" is itself a politically fraught affair.A final minor point. Scientists do not 'believe' that NOx is 250 times more potent as a greenhouse gas than the same quantity of carbon dioxide; the results of studies and experiment have shown this to be the case. 'Belief' is a concept best left to religion.
Google NOx as a greenhouse gas and there are plenty of studies quoting NOx as having a GWP, Global Warming Potential of around 250 times CO2 over 20 and 100 year cycles. In GWP studies CO2 is the reference standard, CO2 is GWP having a reference number of one.As a pointer to the quantity of coal burnt during the time that steam locomotives were not hauling trains the Federation of British Industries published a report in 1952 (sorry, pre-internet, no link!!) showing that the overall efficiency of steam traction was about 4% overall. The railways burnt roundly 14 million tons of coal in total for each of the preceding years and putting that in context the Ministry of Power's figures show that total coal output in 1951 was 226 million tons. In other words the railways burnt some 6% of all the coal mined.
For clarification, Nox is not itself a gas; it is, in atmospheric chemistry, a shorthand for several oxides of nitrogen and should properly be written NO with the 'x' as a subscript. Generally the oxides referred to are nitric oxide (NO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO/subscript2/) being those nitrogen oxides that are most relevant for air pollution. Nitrous oxide (N/subscript2/O) (laughing gas) although making up about 7% of all U.S. greenhouse gas emissions from human activities (US Environmental Protection Agency's figures) contributes less to pollution and is not included in the atmospheric chemists 'NOx' shorthand. Nitrous oxide is also naturally present in the atmosphere as part of the Earth's nitrogen cycle and has a variety of natural sources.
Although some car makers did use software tricks to meet the letter, if not the spirit, of the emission specifications in practice the NOx gases (produced by the combination of atmospheric nitrogen and oxygen at high temperatures and pressures in internal combustion engines) can be removed fairly easily by injecting ammonia or a urea solution ('Adblue') into the exhaust gases. It was to avoid having to add Adblue tanks to smallish family diesel cars that VW (mainly) used the software trick. And got found out.
A final minor point. Scientists do not 'believe' that NOx is 250 times more potent as a greenhouse gas than the same quantity of carbon dioxide; the results of studies and experiment have shown this to be the case. 'Belief' is a concept best left to religion.
I think the numbers are in this charming video:How much of what a steam locomotive emits is steam that cools to water, and coal bits that fall to the ground, and gases that remain airbourne ?
When you look at post war Britain, London smogs of the 1950’s, the soot black air of the midlands….
Clearly the air wasnt clean.
But today thoses gases are invisible particles, not chunks of unburnt coal.
5 million tons of coal a year, / 8000 locomotives = 625t per loco… / 365 = 1,7t…I think the numbers are in this charming video:
All very Rev W Awdry sounding to me. Diesels the cause of all ills in the world since reshaping began.Could diesel powered trains (locos and DMU'S) actually cause more global warming than steam locomotives?
Coal fired steam locomotives do produce a lot of CO2 emissions but also aerosols which has a cooling effect (global dimming), which cancels out some of the warming produced by CO2. Diesel locos probably produce less CO2 but also less aerosols that would cancel out the CO2.
Global temperature only started rising in the 70s after most countries in the world replaced steam locomotives with diesels and the clean air act was passed. Reducing aerosols and cleaning the air is still a good thing, but it could mean that global temperatures are rising more, because aerosols could have masked a lot of the warming caused by greenhouse gasses.
I am not saying that steam locomotives were especially good for the environment, more that they did not really cause global temperatures to rise.
Have no problems with diesels. I know steam locomotives had to be replaced, was just making the point that steam locomotives may not have been as bad for the environment as some people think.All very Rev W Awdry sounding to me. Diesels the cause of all ills in the world since reshaping began.
Some progress is being made with electric cars and hybrids, but I think the government plan for a ban on new petrol and diesel cars by 2030 is a bit optimistic.And of course 30k steam locomotives burning 3t of coal a day in 1948 doesnt really compare to 32million cars burning a litre of fuel everyday… thats the real problem.. not rail, or air.
Why? For those people who love or need an internal combustion engine vehicle, it encourages them to keep their vehicle well maintained so that it lasts longer. And encourages people to buy vehicles that are likely to last longer.Some progress is being made with electric cars and hybrids, but I think the government plan for a ban on new petrol and diesel cars by 2030 is a bit optimistic.
Jet airlines account for only a very small fraction of CO2 emissions, and in terms of actual global warming very little. The space race even less.I think the timing is a coincidence. The then-new mass use of Jet airliners, the the Space Race, and the further expansion of industrialisation are much more likely to be the main cause.
I'd agree that a lot of the shouting from environmentalists is virtue signalling, especially from the younger generations who seem to believe they are going to save the world from us oldies.I would hope nobody would seriously try to suggest any type of locomotive has caused temperatures to rise - the contribution will be absolutely minuscule.
The whole thing is far too politicised which prevents a sensible debate. Nothing we do in this tiny country will have any real effect anyway. In my view we should accept the inevitable and rather than worrying about (and spending huge amounts on) “net zero” for the sake of virtue signalling we should get busy building flood defences.
It is, however...It's based on science.
The politics exist on both sides of the argument. For every one person denying man made climate change, there is at least another who desperate to say they can save the world. Most modern environmentalism is little more than flag waving & virtue signalling. The real solutions are going to be challenging, expensive & very long term. The climate change won't be dampened by silly stunts like sailing across the Atlantic to attend a climate change convention (and then flying back), or people supergluing themselves to roads or art galleries.The politics comes from those who have a vested interest in denying it.
I’m pretty certain that if half the population glued themselves to roads, that would definitely help. It’s a bit hard to drive a car, use a gas oven, or otherwise burn fossil fuels while firmly stuck to a road…The climate change won't be dampened by silly stunts like sailing across the Atlantic to attend a climate change convention (and then flying back), or people supergluing themselves to roads or art galleries.
Instead of gluing themselves to the road, why don't they try to become the people making the decisions?I’m pretty certain that if half the population glued themselves to roads, that would definitely help. It’s a bit hard to drive a car, use a gas oven, or otherwise burn fossil fuels while firmly stuck to a road…
The antics are the result of frustration that not enough action is taking place. I’m now past my first half century, and over thirty years ago it was clear that the activities of humans was having effects on the climate. Yet, how much change have we as a species managed to make to try to correct the problems? Answer, nowhere near enough. Hence the increasing frustration.
Just look at the U turns over fracking as different Tory party leaders have come and gone over the last seven weeks as one of many examples of why the level of frustration continues to increase.
Climate activism is being pursued by loads of different people in loads of different ways. A lot of media attention has gone to a relatively small percentage of disruptive action, but that doesn't mean other types aren't happening, they just don't get reported on (nearly) as much.Instead of gluing themselves to the road, why don't they try to become the people making the decisions?
Unfortunately the noisy ones cause more issues because they trivialise the issue, and worse actually make some people believe that environmentalists are all cranks and that man made climate change is fake news.Climate activism is being pursued by loads of different people in loads of different ways. A lot of media attention has gone to a relatively small percentage of disruptive action, but that doesn't mean other types aren't happening, they just don't get reported on (nearly) as much.
We don't need climate action, we need solutions. And you won't find them by gluing yourself to the M25.If you believe you can do climate action better, you are very welcome to show the way!
I don't believe this is actually true, but obviously we can have different views on the matterUnfortunately the noisy ones cause more issues because they trivialise the issue, and worse actually make some people believe that environmentalists are all cranks and that man made climate change is fake news.
A lot of solutions exist, they just need to be implemented.We don't need climate action, we need solutions. And you won't find them by gluing yourself to the M25.