In a word, no.
DfT has yet to negotiate a direct award with Arriva for 2016-2019 as per the announced schedule.
On top of which there is no source of suitable extra rolling stock until the IEP and/or electrification programmes produce some cascades.
The most suitable stock would be Class 180s.
I don't think the 180s would be the most suitable. Its another fleet to maintain and another fleet type for XC to learn.
HSTs displaced from MML, ECML and GWML would be better as XC already know these. Class 222s from MML would also be ideal here being similar to 220s/221s. Also I think we are forgetting that the XC route is likely to change beyond recognition post HS2.
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Would be surprised if Virgin would go for it.
Personally I think they will but I do fear for the Class 170 routes if they do.
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Others have pointed out that the HST's can't keep pace with timetables, but given so many XC Voyagers run late would that be noticed by the traveling public
Personally I don't see this as an issue.
Firstly Looking at XC threads on Facebook XC have been reducing the schedules in HSTs.
Secondly I would focus the HSTs solely on the Plymouth to Edinburgh axis and no other route as maintenance and fuelling then become easier - HSTs based at Penzance - Long Rock, Plymouth - Laira, Bristol - St Phillip Marsh, Derby - Etches Park, Leeds - Neville Hill, Newcastle - Heaton, Edinburgh - Craigentinny and Aberdeen - Clayhills. This route could be changed to HST timings and the few Voyagers that remain (mostly terminating at Derby and Birmingham would just be quick on HST timings.
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As much as I agree that overcrowding is a problem on the route, where could sufficient 3 car units be released from without causing overcrowding elsewhere? Would a half hourly service, even if some were 2 car sets, alleviate the overcrowding somewhat?
Agreed - it does all seem to finish a bit early east of Leicester.
The early finish east of Leicester is poor. An 00:10 arrival at Cambridge should be easily achievable (so one hour later than present). However Cambridge to Leicester is just as poor. Last train 20:21 Stansted to New Street with no Stansted to Leicester short services after that. Mostly because Leicester Depot doesn't sign east of Leicester to Stansted.
Sounds like a solution looking for a problem. Neither GA nor TPE have traincrew at Nottingham, which is where - inevitably - the majority of traincrew for the route are needed.
Mind you neither do XC. Some of their crew come from Leicester to work these services.
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Notwithstanding the fact that DfT / XC probably aren't interested, could additional carriages be built to strengthen all XC Turbostars to three coaches? And could (dizzy with excitement) a four car 170 ever work?
The coaches would all have to be unpowered to meet the latest 3B EU emissions standards as a 3B suitable engine wouldn't fit under the floor. 170s are under powered at the best of times. More likely the two car 170s would be joined together to operate as 2x2 Class 170s. Most likely these would come from Scotrail - as has been discussed.
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When many passengers have to stand, extra capacity would be much higher up their priority list than sockets and wi fi.
But the latter would probably be easier to implement on a short franchise within an existing fleet. The former requires extra trains and as has been noted above aren't exactly available currently.