I really don't think only 5% of people will use OOC, vs 95% to Paddington. And how many new journeys might there be. Or how demand to there grows (lots of housing, offices - I could see company relos happening)
Yes Crossrail is at Paddington too, and HS2 is a bit niche / won't be quicker for all - and it's more handy for a double back to Heathrow - but if other (unfunded but not crazy to imagine) - NLL and even WLO services join the fray, it will become much more of a hub in each direction, more of a Stratford. WLL would be the best, but seems the least likely.
HS2 will have TONS of capacity to Birmingham. To a point where it might be incentivized to route that way vs XC from Bristol or Reading. So I think that'll be interesting to watch.
Yes Crossrail is at Paddington too, and HS2 is a bit niche / won't be quicker for all - and it's more handy for a double back to Heathrow - but if other (unfunded but not crazy to imagine) - NLL and even WLO services join the fray, it will become much more of a hub in each direction, more of a Stratford. WLL would be the best, but seems the least likely.
HS2 will have TONS of capacity to Birmingham. To a point where it might be incentivized to route that way vs XC from Bristol or Reading. So I think that'll be interesting to watch.