we won't just effectively end up with a subsidised bus and a subsidised train effectively competing, the result of which not being passenger growth but rather increased subsidy.
The argument regarding T19/train is similar to 2 Local Bus services versus T11 Trawscymru Connect.
Whilst in theory a sensible option it does not necessarily lead to passenger growth.
How will we know whether the T19/train concept works? That requires detailed research on patronage compared the patronage that existed previously. The fact that the fare structure is incomprehensible and poorly advertised would suggest that passenger numbers may go down.
Only the Welsh Government will hold the answer.
Look
The T12 is a Traws Cymru route through and through. They just put 'Connect' on it because it takes 300 years to get anywhere.
The T12 SHOULD be a Trawscymru route with a direct service optimising network connections with other Trawscymru routes . It should start in a large town Aberystwyth with a population ten times that of Machynleth and at a bus transport hub with the Trawscymru T1,T2,T5 and a range of local bus services serving the West side of Wales. It should go via Llangurig (Links with local buses from the South), Llanidloes, Newtown, Welshpool, Oswestry to Wrexham with no diversions.
Who in their right mind would choose to travel on the T12 from Newtown to Welshpool knowing that due to the diversion via Montgomery it would take twice the time by car and 3 times the time by train.
Newtown to Welshpool car 14 miles 22 mins
Newtown to Welshpool bus via Montgomery 44 mins
Newtown to Welshpool train 14 mins.fare £6.00
That isn't something that you, and anyone, can say. It may well be that improved branding allied to increased journey opportunities have had a benefit?
Would the passenger figures be available for the previous component parts that formed the T12?
TrawsCymru may not release that information but all councils should hold passenger figures for their tendered services.
The Welsh Government does publish transport statistics
https://statswales.gov.wales/Catalogue/Transport/Roads/Public-Service-Vehicles.
However it is aggregated data but presumably it is aggregated from data for each individual bus service, so performance of each individual service should be available to the Welsh Government .
They no longer publish Trawscymru transport statistics. Last publication 2017-2018.
Is there one single country with high public transport modal share that doesn't fully or near-fully integrate?
a full, combined bus and train timetable should be created and all online journey planners should show that as well as ticket acceptance noted. Huge opportunity. No one with the brains to do it properly though.
Really, Traws is supposed to be the flagship bus services in rural Wales. If this can't be achieved on the Traws routes, then the rest of the country bus network in Wales has no hope.
As someone who really enjoys 1Bws, I would love to see it included but this is TFW. It goes back to my earlier point. Someone had a good thought about the integration but it's extremely poorly executed.
1Bws should really be a 1Traws ticket, valid on all public transport.
I agree fully with the above. The Welsh Government have all the data they require in order to design a fully integrated system in the case of bus/rail passengers although I am not sure exactly what data they hold regarding private car journeys which is where the growth in Trawscymru passenger numbers and public transport as a whole would come from.
Some time ago the Welsh Government announced they had purchased software and set up a group to analyse mobile signal data to analyse private car journeys and use that data to plan an integrated Transport network .They have reported aggregated percent figures from the mobile signal data in the Welsh Transport Policy document . The Welsh Transport Policy document published in May 2021 also contains the statement that Trawscymru passenger numbers increased by 46% in 2018-2019.
https://gov.wales/sites/default/fil...ing-information-transport-data-and-trends.pdf
They identified key points from the mobile network data covering the morning peak period (07:00-10:00): which included high flows on journeys between North Wales and North West England, cross-border journeys starting in South East Wales , and Mid Wales crossing the Wales/England border.
They made no suggestions regarding changes to the bus network and concluded.
At present there is no consistent approach to measuring overcrowding on bus routes in Wales. During 2019/20, Bus Users Cymru conducted a large-scale bus service punctuality monitoring programme across Wales Average service punctuality (defined as buses departing a timing point no more than 1 minute early or 5 minutes late) was: 81% in North Wales, 79% in South East Wales, 90% in South West Wales
All 3 areas failed miserably to meet the Traffic Commissioners Standard of 95% although this is not mentioned.
Whilst the 46% annual increase in Trawscymru passenger numbers was quoted in the report, there is no analysis of punctuality data on the Trawscymru Network. From personal observation the T5 is now very unreliable.
The Welsh Government last publication of Trawscymru punctuality data was in 2018 in an obscure Transport Journal.
https://westminsterresearch.westminster.ac.uk/download/e89fe6a994e7118e537af4f366465d8ff7a65457904b18796904a8571c1c211d/3288759/IU Bus Rpt final version 090318.pdf
The article identified a problem with the T3 punctuality measured at 87%
The Welsh Government seem incapable of publicising or using the Trawscymru data they hold on Trawscymru passenger numbers and punctuality. Passengers across the whole of Wales will not be encouraged to use a poorly designed network which offers below standards levels of punctuality.
As the contributor said
If this can't be achieved on the Traws routes, then the rest of the country bus network in Wales has no hope.