I find it interesting so many read so much into politics when i think much of it is pretty simple…
Non-aligned People vote based on their emotion, which is guided by their perception at the time (ie personal economics, feeling towards the current party, country, media etc).
If they are feeling hard done by, and thinking the incumbents are corrupt, they vote for the counter party, if the perception if that party is they cant be trusted they vote for the third choice, failing that just protest to any, or just dont vote.
The last election in my mind was corrupt, it shows that anyone with enough money to risk on losing a deposit can rock up a no fake/hope party, steal a few votes which is just enough to tip the balance in another parties favour and buy an election/government.
Next election will be very different, the “war” might be over, Brexit done, Covid past and economic carnage, depression, inflation, crash currency and high interest rates, whatever brimstone comes from the sky.. even if the worst is past and things start picking up… everyone will be fed up and blaming dodgy Boris and just like Winston after WW2, turf him out…
But that assumes he’s still here and the party susses that out themselves.
As for Keir Starmer, he started out right but fizzled out, it might be he’s saving his best for the election, lets face it its years away so theres no point fighting now, but equally he could be damp powder and fails to ignite.
As for Liberals… who is the leader ? - I’m writing here and I don't even know, yet I live in what used to be a several decades long liberal safe zone in Surrey, that several MPs got unseated by the dodgy last election…and the new Tory in this town.. well he’s certainly the most active MP ive ever seen, he’s not planning on losing the next election as he’s everywhere in this village.
will it change anything .. will the electorate wake up to the fact they've been ripped off… its quite possible, but around here a Liberal comeback isn’t assured by any means, nor is it a safe Tory seat, and its certainly not labour, but the Tories are fighting to keep it now, and that might make a difference.
The Liberals around here were in sleepy self belief before, and seem to still be now, nothing changed, apart from losing, so if they dont care, why would the voters ?