When does nice talk about doing something with the Uckfield line move to having to do something as the Class 171 fleet need replacing? They were built in 2003 I believe so are 21 years old. There are, I think, 24 cars and each car is 23m long.
A peak service last week saw a 9 car train operating but they usually operate as 8 cars in the peak and 2 or 3 off peak.
There is an hourly service currently although there is an additional half hour peak service in the morning. There is no equivalent in the evening. The peak hour services are 8 carriages long and generally full and standing between Oxted and London Bridge (Tuesdays to Thursdays). There is potential for more demand given a more reliable service.
A new sub station is being built by National Grid near Uckfield
https://www.nationalgrid.com/electricity-transmission/network-and-infrastructure/little-horsted - no idea if this helps address the suggested power shortages for 3rd rail or battery charging at Uckfield.
Any battery train needs the ability to sit at Crowborough or Ashurst for a couple of hours without losing sufficient charge to get to a charging point!
It seems clear that the crunch will come when the 171s need replacing and battery is clearly cheaper than electrification. So how long? 10 or 20 years?