But isn't wind going to have to produce 50% constantly and battery storage would need to cover Lincolnshire.
No, wind isnt going to have to be 50% constantly…
I meant that if we need battery storage for when we don't have wind which is often it would need to be big enough to cover an area the size of Lincolnshire
.. and no, battery storage would not need to be the size of Lincolnshire. There’s a 100MW / MWh battery facility at Richborough Park in Thanet, and that is 1.6 hectares, ie 16 hectares per GWh.
Scaled up to the size needed to power the UK for a week in winter assuming low wind, low solar, 75% import capacity on the connectors, existing biomass and nuclear generating at 90% (but not Hinckley point C), which between all of them would be generating 20GW vs a winter average demand of 35GW, we would need about 2,500 GWh of battery capacity, which would be 40,000 hectares.
That is 6% of Lincolnshire.
As a former resident of Lincolsnshire, I can think of plenty of places that would be substantially improved by being a battery storage facility compared to their existing use.
The above assumes current levels of renewable generation, which is rising all the time - wind output will more than double in the next 5-6 years, and solar will increase by around 50% in the same timeframe (yes, even on gloomy, still days). Also this does not include the potential upside from the large pipeline of battery storage projects in construction or planned, nor the four pumped storage projects with planning consent (one in pre-construction), nor the X Links project, nor any of the proposed interconnectors not yet confirmed. Nor does it include the effects of domestic battery systems, vehicle to grid systems, nor dynamic pricing of electricity, all of which are here now and will expand rapidly in the next few years.
Recent statistics demonstrate the rapid trend of decarbonisation in the power system: GB emissions from power generation for this summer (the three months of June / July / August) were half what they were 5 years ago (92g CO2 / kWh vs 180g), and roughly 20% of what they were 11 years ago (440g). Source: Drax Electric insights website.
In summary - we’ll be ok without coal now; next year we’ll be ok without gas on windy or sunny days when the temperature is mild, and by the end of the decade we’ll be ok without gas on the majority of days.
Thanks.