Much of the discussion in this thread fails to include what we already know about the headline plans for the West Midlands Franchise. Clearly in what you see below there will be some interim arrangements to be resolved but to remind you of what has been posted elsewhere on this site I will copy it below with the provenace. What is clear is that the GA and WMT class 170s are up for grabs in 2020.
Train services
December 2018
• Major timetable recast, based on improving the performance of Birmingham New Street− currently the highest cause of secondary delay to train services in the whole of the UK
• We will do this by reducing turnround services by up to 50%, freeing up platforms to allow any later running trains to make up time
• This will help all Train Operators including Cross Country and West Coast services.
We will also:
• reduce journey times between Euston and Birmingham and Euston and Crewe
• run new through services between London and Birmingham International to Liverpool and Walsall and between Nuneaton, Coventry and Leamington Spa
• introduce additional services between Shrewsbury and Birmingham and Wolverhampton and Crewe
• provide a new hourly Sunday service between Shrewsbury and Birmingham
• run additional earlier and later services to Hereford, Crewe, Northampton and Liverpool.
December 2019
• We will double the services between Nuneaton and Coventry SX and SU via the Ricoh Stadium after completion of the new bay platform at Coventry. We will replace the single car train with 2 car Class 172 trains. On Saturdays we will run 3 trains per hour
• There are plans to build 7 new stations in the West Midlands, subject to the successful completion of feasibility studies
• Stourbridge Junction terminators will reverse and we have an aspiration to run them to a new station at Brierley Hill, converting the existing double freight lines to two single lines, one passenger and one freight
• We plan to extend Kidderminster terminators onto the Severn Valley Railway, subject to a new station being built at the West Midlands Safari Park.
May 2021
• A new Sunday timetable that runs as many services as Saturdays, doubling the current number ofservices. A new Sunday service will run between Bedford and Bletchley.
December 2023
• We have an aspiration to extend Brierley Hill services to interchange with the new Midland Metro station we have planned for at Canal St.
Fleet
December 2018
•172/0 introduced from GOB 8x2car
•230/2 introduced Bedford-Bletchley 3x2car.
December 2019
•350/4 introduced from TPE 10x4car.
December 2020
•All 15X and 170 removed
•New DMUs introduced, 12x2car and 14x4car.
May 2021
•350/2 removed
•New EMUs introduced, 42x5car and 36x3car.
http://www.stourbridgelineusergroup.info/News - New Franchise - Abellio Presentation.pdf