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Brexit matters

Journeyman

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In fairness one member of this site recently stated that they would have to move to Ireland because the EHIC and its UK replacement might not cover Switzerland, Lichtenstein and Iceland (despite this almost certainly being very temporary as demonstrated by Norway). Some of the remainer complaints in the media about the deal have been pathetic e.g. export ban on seed potatoes and non frozen sausages. Simply saying its a thin deal isn't good enough, any hole no matter how small needs to picked at, probably for many years to come. Its just like brexiteers not liking EU regs on vacuum cleaners.

Complaining about the export ban on seed potatoes isn't pathetic if you export seed potatoes for a living.

Trashing people's livelihoods over an ill-conceived grudge about vacuum cleaners is, however.
 
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Spamcan81

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Complaining about the export ban on seed potatoes isn't pathetic if you export seed potatoes for a living.

Trashing people's livelihoods over an ill-conceived grudge about vacuum cleaners is, however.

Agreed. It's big business for many farmers, especially in Scotland. And to make it even dafter, it's likely we won't be able to sell them to Northern Ireland as that is still aligned to the EU on goods.
 

Starmill

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Some of the remainer complaints in the media about the deal have been pathetic e.g. export ban on seed potatoes and non frozen sausages.
This is a totally crazy thing to say. I'm afraid you're deeply detached from reality. Those complaints aren't from remainers - they're from people who sell seed potatoes and meat preparations to EU customers whose business is contracting. Many of them weren't remainers even in 2016. You will come up with any excuse to bash criticisms of the (demonstrably poorer) outcome though, as I've suggested before. Personally I have zero interest in the regulations around meat preparations or seed potatoes. However I do have an interest in protecting British businesses (unlike the Conservative Party, it appears).

Brexit is the enabler, an essential prerequisite to enable this process to begin. It will take a long time.
So it's blind faith then that the government will just... stop doing what it's doing now and start doing the opposite again at some future point? OK then.
 

Chester1

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Complaining about the export ban on seed potatoes isn't pathetic if you export seed potatoes for a living.

Trashing people's livelihoods over an ill-conceived grudge about vacuum cleaners is, however.

This is a totally crazy thing to say. I'm afraid you're deeply detached from reality. Those complaints aren't from remainers - they're from people who sell seed potatoes and meat preparations to EU customers whose business is contracting. Many of them weren't remainers even in 2016. You will come up with any excuse to bash criticisms of the (demonstrably poorer) outcome though, as I've suggested before. Personally I have zero interest in the regulations around meat preparations or seed potatoes. However I do have an interest in protecting British businesses (unlike the Conservative Party, it appears).

The entire industry is £120m per year, of which £20m is exported to the EU. I am willing to bet the vacuum cleaner regs had a mildly negative output on UK vacuum cleaner production. Both seed potatoes and vacuum cleaner production are absolutely tiny for a £2 trillion+ economy and only used by people with an axe to grind. Good luck with coping with the 2020s guys...
 

jon0844

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The thing I don't get is that nobody has ever promised to change regulations in the UK so that previously prohibited, less effective, and less energy efficient lighting or vacuum cleaners will be once again permitted. Indeed, it's quite likely that the government will continue to advance these regulations.

The current governing party have in the past few years got into regulating everything from plastic bags to sugary drinks, and only recently stated their intent to significantly regulate snack food, and have published a number of other proposals to regulate the sale of unhealthy food. They say they'll soon begin to regulate gas boilers in homes, and petrol and diesel cars, to the point where they're almost out of existence within a few years. How do you feel about that? Doesn't this suggest they're going to do the opposite of what you say you want?

There's another issue. Relaxing regulation only in the UK would mean that any goods which complied with future UK regulations but not EU ones wouldn't be able to be lawfully sold in Northern Ireland, or indeed possibly anywhere in the world except for the UK. Are the lightbulb and vacuum cleaner manufacturers going to specialise for a remarkably small market?

I'm afraid the problem with these ambitions is that they're clickbait headline fodder that people have convinced themselves they really believe in. The benefits are still completely illusory.

I believe the UK played a large part in changing the rules on things like vacuum cleaners, so - no - it isn't going to change. Nobody will make stupidly expensive to run, but less efficient, vacuum cleaners for a few leavers, who also want to seek out incandescent bulbs with short lifespans and ten times the energy consumption.

Perhaps if Trump had won another four years there would be a bigger market, as he clearly wanted to reverse their legislation on similar things, but he didn't so that's another market gone.

Frankly, I am not sure there are any other countries with people who want to turn the clock back on progress.
 
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Starmill

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The entire industry is £120m per year, of which £20m is exported to the EU. I am willing to bet the vacuum cleaner regs had a mildly negative output on UK vacuum cleaner production. Both seed potatoes and vacuum cleaner production are absolutely tiny for a £2 trillion+ economy and only used by people with an axe to grind. Good luck with coping with the 2020s guys...
Absolutely. And if you sell seed potatoes? I literally just explained this to you, I'm not interested in them at all. But I'm not likely to lose my job over the lost sales. Of course the government could compensate these firms but I wouldn't want to be paying taxes to waste more money on Brexit, and they aren't proposing to do that anyway. So the only real solution is for the government to find new customers for these firms. Good luck with that...
 

jon0844

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What EU army?
What existing EU treaty allows for the creation of an EU army?
Spoilers, there isn't one, if the EU wanted one, it would require an entirely new treaty, that every single member state would have to sign off on. If just one member state vetoed it, the whole thing would collapse. Because sovereignty.
Also, what on earth would be so bad about an EU army?
It's not like the EU is known for provocation and starting wars...

But IF the EU members did all decide to create an army, we'd be sitting next door with no say whatsoever.
 

brad465

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Corbyn wanted Brexit more than Boris did. It was a surreal situation, and left remainers stranded.
That'll probably be because there is a left-wing argument for leaving, which is on the basis the EU is a [regulated] capitalist organisation and Corbyn and others of that alignment are very anti-capitalist, and potentially why large leave voter numbers exist in Labour (or now formerly Labour) heartlands. The problem they had though was the money went into the warlord capitalist view of leaving the EU to try and deregulate the UK economy, so their arguments were drowned out by the smokescreens of foreigners, sovereignty, fishing, etc. I don't know if Corbyn realised it was better to remain than let the latter form of capitalism take hold via leaving the EU, but if he did he didn't do a very good job selling this and presenting evidence of it (or getting others with better credibility to sell it).
 

Journeyman

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The entire industry is £120m per year, of which £20m is exported to the EU. I am willing to bet the vacuum cleaner regs had a mildly negative output on UK vacuum cleaner production. Both seed potatoes and vacuum cleaner production are absolutely tiny for a £2 trillion+ economy and only used by people with an axe to grind. Good luck with coping with the 2020s guys...

The point is that until tomorrow we're freely able to export seed potatoes. As of Friday, we can't export seed potatoes. So what do you say to someone who now loses their market access? Where's their Brexit unicorn? Or are you going to fob them off with a 2.4kW vacuum cleaner?
 

Starmill

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Or are you going to fob them off with a 2.4kW vacuum cleaner?
The best thing of course is that people will be waiting for forever and a day for those vaccuum cleaners to return, while the market access is lost on day one.
 

Journeyman

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The best thing of course is that people will be waiting for forever and a day for those vaccuum cleaners to return, while the market access is lost on day one.

Never mind, we can redeploy the potato farmers in the hugely expanded giant vacuum cleaner industry.
 

Chester1

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The point is that until tomorrow we're freely able to export seed potatoes. As of Friday, we can't export seed potatoes. So what do you say to someone who now loses their market access? Where's their Brexit unicorn? Or are you going to fob them off with a 2.4kW vacuum cleaner?

No I am saying neither really matters to a £2 trillion economy. Its unfortunate for them but its insufficient a reason to change plans on brexit. If vacumn cleaner regs are subject to numerous posts of ridicule then a loss of £20m in exports to one industry shouldn't get much attention. If the EU reg changes lost £20m of vacumn cleaner exports would people who are strongly pro EU care? Of course not!

Its sad for anyone directly effected by any negative changes but most remainers who have not reconciled yet will just turn into the remain equivalent of the UKIP types who blamed everything on the EU e.g. Vacumn cleaner regs...
 

Starmill

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Its unfortunate for them but its insufficient a reason to change plans on brexit.
Why? No reason we couldn't have negotiated this access and left the EU. Who says we had to give this access up? That wasn't a condition of Brexit. This was a decision taken by the government.

This is the problem with your argument. Even worse, the vaccuum cleaner point isn't a significant negative in trade terms. Really nobody cares about the wattage of their vaccuum cleaner. Farmers definitely do care about whether they can get hold of their seeds however. Why exactly are seed potato farmers the ones who pay the most cost of Brexit (no compensation remember) and other potato farmers aren't hardly paying at all? Of course, some Scots are claiming that the Prime Minister deliberately inflicted the pain on more Scottish-focused industries. That cannot be easily proved, but does it matter if Scots suspect it?
 

Journeyman

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No I am saying neither really matters to a £2 trillion economy. Its unfortunate for them but its insufficient a reason to change plans on brexit. If vacumn cleaner regs are subject to numerous posts of ridicule then a loss of £20m in exports to one industry shouldn't get much attention. If the EU reg changes lost £20m of vacumn cleaner exports would people who are strongly pro EU care? Of course not!

Its sad for anyone directly effected by any negative changes but most remainers who have not reconciled yet will just turn into the remain equivalent of the UKIP types who blamed everything on the EU e.g. Vacumn cleaner regs...

You're talking absolute nonsense. The simple fact is that Brexit is resulting in a loss of trade, jobs and business immediately. Where are all the upsides? The relocation of EU agencies out of London and the contraction of the finance sector has already seen tens of thousands of jobs go abroad, and without Brexit we'd have kept them. The limits on exports and extra red tape will soon cost many more jobs. A lot of small businesses will give up trading with the UK completely because it's too much hassle. Any manufacturer looking to invest in Europe will obviously give us a miss because our market is a tenth of the size of the EU.
 

Chester1

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You're talking absolute nonsense. The simple fact is that Brexit is resulting in a loss of trade, jobs and business immediately. Where are all the upsides? The relocation of EU agencies out of London and the contraction of the finance sector has already seen tens of thousands of jobs go abroad, and without Brexit we'd have kept them. The limits on exports and extra red tape will soon cost many more jobs. A lot of small businesses will give up trading with the UK completely because it's too much hassle. Any manufacturer looking to invest in Europe will obviously give us a miss because our market is a tenth of the size of the EU.

OK brexit is a terrible idea and I will leave you to share your resentment together...
 

Journeyman

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OK brexit is a terrible idea and I will leave you to share your resentment together...

Yes. It's a terrible idea. It always was. It's quite revealing that you can't actually answer my statement of facts there.
 

Starmill

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OK brexit is a terrible idea and I will leave you to share your resentment together...
I think you'll find we're talking about the effect of Brexit on trade and regulations, rather than Brexit itself, which of course is in the past and irrelevant now.

If there were benefits of Brexit, they could be taxed by the government and used to pay compensation to the seed farmers.
 

najaB

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OK brexit is a terrible idea and I will leave you to share your resentment together...
The simple fact is that there are numerous concrete downsides and - so far - I've not heard any concrete upsides. I'm all ears if you can explain the concrete benefits of Brexit. How are people going to be better off in their day-to-day lives?
 

Journeyman

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I think you'll find we're talking about the effect of Brexit on trade and regulations, rather than Brexit itself, which of course is in the past and irrelevant now.

Effect on trade = reducing it significantly
Effect on regulations = biggest imposition of red tape on UK businesses in 50 years
 

matacaster

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I've seen everything I need to see now.

It's not just about you, is it? You've deprived in excess of 65 million people of that freedom for what are essentially trivial reasons you clearly don't even understand properly. Have you any idea how much distress, inconvenience and genuine hardship your decision has caused thousands of people already? How many opportunities will be lost in the future? All because you want a more powerful vacuum cleaner?

Are you saying that no UK nationals can live or move to the continent following Brexit, or simply that it involves a more difficult process which might be expensive, protracted and might not be granted (at the discretion of the EU)? I would suggest it is unlikely that 65million people would have wished to exercise that right so having the right only affects those who were hoping to do so. Prior to our entry to EU, I am fairly confident that Britons used to live in Europe (as in any other part of the world) subject to the appropriate application and granting of residency - I cant see why EU / UK / Other countries should not have the right to reject movement of people they deem will not benefit them - (eg criminals etc).
 

Journeyman

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Are you saying that no UK nationals can live or move to the continent following Brexit, or simply that it involves a more difficult process which might be expensive, protracted and might not be granted (at the discretion of the EU)? I would suggest it is unlikely that 65million people would have wished to exercise that right so having the right only affects those who were hoping to do so. Prior to our entry to EU, I am fairly confident that Britons used to live in Europe (as in any other part of the world) subject to the appropriate application and granting of residency - I cant see why EU / UK / Other countries should not have the right to reject movement of people they deem will not benefit them - (eg criminals etc).

I'm pointing out that a right we have today, and has been used by millions of people over the years, disappears in about 22 hours time. Yes, we can apply for visas, yes, we can jump through the hoops, but if an EU company is looking for expertise that exists in Britain, it's now going to only employ a British person as an absolute last resort. It represents a significant decrease in opportunities for many, especially the young, to broaden their horizons. We've lost Erasmus, so students can't easily and affordably study in Europe any more, and we've pulled out of loads of European science and research programmes, so the opportunity for British academics and scientists to work on those programmes has been lost.

For what, exactly?
 

matacaster

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No I am saying neither really matters to a £2 trillion economy. Its unfortunate for them but its insufficient a reason to change plans on brexit. If vacumn cleaner regs are subject to numerous posts of ridicule then a loss of £20m in exports to one industry shouldn't get much attention. If the EU reg changes lost £20m of vacumn cleaner exports would people who are strongly pro EU care? Of course not!

Its sad for anyone directly effected by any negative changes but most remainers who have not reconciled yet will just turn into the remain equivalent of the UKIP types who blamed everything on the EU e.g. Vacumn cleaner regs...

It is unfortunate, but many big changes have unintended minor consequences (in the
scheme of things) which are the end for some. eg When the UK went metric, there were opportunities because people needed new machines, training etc and could export to europe more easily, however, exports to USA were made more difficult, some firms closed as they couldn't afford new equipment or owners were near retirement, so it wasn't worth it - but despite some sad casualties it still went ahead.
 

Journeyman

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It is unfortunate, but many big changes have unintended minor consequences (in the
scheme of things) which are the end for some. eg When the UK went metric, there were opportunities because people needed new machines, training etc and could export to europe more easily, however, exports to USA were made more difficult, some firms closed as they couldn't afford new equipment or owners were near retirement, so it wasn't worth it - but despite some sad casualties it still went ahead.

So why is Brexit worth these unintended consequences? Why should we sacrifice people's livelihoods for it? When do we start seeing the upsides, and what are they?
 

Cowley

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I think you'll find we're talking about the effect of Brexit on trade and regulations, rather than Brexit itself, which of course is in the past and irrelevant now.

Nicely done. :)
I was just about to post this again...

Ok. Before we head on back into the Brexit subject there’s a couple of provisos... :)

First off let’s keep it civil obviously. Because before we locked it last time it had very much become a thread that was generating many arguments and needed a lot of work from us to keep it on topic as it was often the same people arguing the same points over and over again without anyone ever conceding anything.
If it’s getting heated, take a breath and go and look at something more relaxing for a while (like the Disputes and Prosecutions section maybe).

Secondly, things have obviously moved on since we locked the last one and although many people don’t like the fact that it’s happening (although also plenty of people do), we need to pick things up from where they are now, and endlessly raking over the original decision to leave will without a doubt cause this thread to become bogged down in the same kind of arguing again.

We have done a lot of this before and I don’t think we’ve ever had anyone cross sides and start to agree with someone who has an opposing point of view...

We weren’t particularly keen on opening this kind of thread up again because it was a complete nightmare dealing with it at times this year, but it’s fairly unavoidable at the moment obviously.
On that note please keep this thread moving along and open to as many people as possible as it’s very easy for it become bogged down with just a few people arguing with each other about why we’re leaving. Which in the end just doesn’t work.
Thanks
 

Starmill

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It is unfortunate, but many big changes have unintended minor consequences (in the
scheme of things) which are the end for some. eg When the UK went metric, there were opportunities because people needed new machines, training etc and could export to europe more easily, however, exports to USA were made more difficult, some firms closed as they couldn't afford new equipment or owners were near retirement, so it wasn't worth it - but despite some sad casualties it still went ahead.
The adoption of SI units had plainly defined, easily realised trade benefits. Sure it had costs but it was agreed by all that the net benefits would be worth it. Where are those, in this trade deal?
 

Journeyman

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The adoption of SI units had plainly defined, easily realised trade benefits. Sure it had costs but it was agreed by all that the net benefits would be worth it. Where are those, in this trade deal?

The development of Concorde was made massively more complicated by our insistence on using imperial measures. It's obvious that adopting metric would give us access to a much bigger market. We do far more engineering business with Europe than we do with America, now the only country largely clinging on to imperial units for just about everything.
 

infobleep

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The SNP are a puppet government who can hold a referendum on their own volition but Whitehall doesn't have to take any notice of it.

Apparently 6 Labour shadow ministers are threatening to resign over Starmer whipping Labour MPs to vote for Borises deal.

As you say, Boris is not going to leave and has no opposition in Labour.
The Brexit referundem didn't have to be taken any notice of by the UK government either. It wasn't legally binding. They choose to go along with the result though, which I guess is fair enough.

Ian Blackford said this evening in a point of order, in the House of Commons, that in the last referundem on Scottish independence, voters were told if they remained in the UK, they would remain in the EU. Alas with hindsight that isn't what has happened

So I guess they now want a second referundem due what they were told not turning out to be true in hindsight. If the future could have been forseen and told, then maybe people would have voted differently.

I see all the devolved governments didn't support the deal. If I recall correctly, and do correct me if I've got any of this wrong, the Scottish Parliament voted against the deal, the Northern Ireland Parliament recommended it not be approved and the Welsh Parliament didn't like it but said they didn't have powers to do anything.

I enjoyed watching the Royal assent announcements late into the night as it's a bit of history. Where were you when the Royal assent was announced? I worked as a poll clerk on the day of the election, helping to enable people to cast their vote and here we are 4 and half years later. The country is still divided on these matters to some extent or other.

I have good friends, who whilst being good friends, have opposing views on this natter and that won't change, even if they remain good friends.

I won't be listening to Big Ben at 11pm tomorrow though. To me that feels to much like gloating. I shall be watching Austrian TV instead. Dinner for One followed by the bells of St Stephen's and then the traditional broadcast of the Blue Danub Waltz. I will be watching UK TV at midnight though.

When the city Hall resumes I think they should erract a new flag. On that flag will be a map of the European Continent. We may have left the EU but we will never leave the EC. Well not for a very long time if ever.
 

21C101

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I believe the UK played a large part in changing the rules on things like vacuum cleaners, so - no - it isn't going to change.
One reason for Brexit was to stop governments supporting measures in Europe that they liked but knew they would not get past their backbenchers but for the fait accompli of it being European Law.

Yes a lot of it won't be reversed any time soon, but it is no longer an option for them to act this way in future.
 

eoff

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Ian Blackford said this evening in a point of order, in the House of Commons, that in the last referundem on Scottish independence, voters were told if they remained in the UK, they would remain in the EU. Alas with hindsight that isn't what has happened

The danger was that Scotland and England would diverge with all the issues that would create with the border. This has not happened.
 

edwin_m

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The danger was that Scotland and England would diverge with all the issues that would create with the border. This has not happened.
Nothing's had a chance to happen yet. But that's not to say it won't in future. There will already be some checks between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK, and Scotland reverting to the EU would surely introduce at least as many on the border with England. That's arguably manageable for Northern Ireland because accessing it involves a sea crossing, but for Scotland a land border that's currently invisible would become very much a barrier.

The issue during the independence referendum was whether an independent Scotland could remain within or join the EU, which most Scots were in favour of then and now. There was no discussion of what would happen if the UK or England left. But there's another thread for that.
 

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