The trouble is that 2 or 3 weeks will turn into 2 or 3 months, just like it did at the end of March.
Whilst 200 deaths a day might sound bad, it is nowhere near the number that we saw during the first wave of COVID-19.
The NHS was not overwhelmed then, and there is no reason to suppose that it will be overwhelmed now.
I see that SAGE have been at it again, saying that deaths are forecast to be at 200 per day for several months, and that the second wave will be "more deadly" than the first.
Has anyone questioned the assumptions behind this scaremongering "forecast"? Is this a worse case scenario, or the most likely scenario, and is it any more reliable than the forecast which said that we may see 50,000 cases per day by the middle of October, when it turned out that we saw slightly less than half that figure.
Is anyone else getting sick and tired of SAGE?
I have had it up to here with the their scaremongering.
I see that they are "warning" that the whole of England may need to be in Tier 3 restrictions by the middle of December, thus ruining Christmas for many people and driving the final nail into the coffin of the hospitality sector. On what basis do they issue this "warning" (any figures to back this up, by any chance, apart from last weekend's lottery numbers?) and what right do they have to make such a warning in the first place, given that they are only advisers to the government.
If Boris Johnson was to follow this advice, no doubt Whitty would then come out and say that we need to have a Tier 4, and that we need to stay in Tier 4 until the end of March.
I sincerely hope that MPs exert a greater pressure on the Prime Minister to stand up to what amounts to blatant bullying by SAGE, and I am starting to come round to the opinion that SAGE needs to be disbanded in favour of a committee of scientists, economists, actuaries and psychologists who can advise the government on all aspects of policy in relation to COVID-19, and the consequences of each course of action.